"Fostering Climate Prediction and Applications"
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Dekad 05-2017

Most of the Greater Horn of Africa (GHA) region has experienced near normal rainfall conditions, with a few areas around western and central equatorial sector experiencing below normal rainfall, while west and south west part of the southern sector experiencing near normal to above normal rainfall conditions during the fourth dekad (1-10 February) of 2017. Rainfall was mainly observed in the west and south west part of the southern sector of GHA region during the fourth dekad of 2017.Click here to download the complete bulletin

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Monthly Bulletin: February 2017

Rainfall activities were mainly observed over southern sector with areas around south-central and western parts of the equatorial sector, as well as south-central part of the northern sector also recording some rainfall during the month of January 2017. The rainfall performance in most of these areas was however below the average, an indicative of moderately dry to extremely dry conditions.  Click here to download the complete bulletin

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GHACOF 45 Statement

The Forty Fifth Greater Horn of Africa Climate Outlook Forum (GHACOF 45) was convened from 6 to 7 February 2017 at the Intercontinental Hotel, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia by the IGAD Climate Prediction and Applications Centre (ICPAC),the Ethiopia Meteorological Agency(NMA) and partners to develop a regional consensus climate outlook for the March to May 2017 season over the GHA region. The forum reviewed the state of the global and regional climate systems and their implications on the March to May seasonal rainfall over the region. Click here to download the GHACOF45_Statement

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Dekad 03-2017

Most of the Greater Horn of Africa (GHA) region has experienced near normal to below normal rainfall during the second dekad of 2017. Rainfall was mainly observed in the southern and western parts of the southern sector as well as south west of the equatorial sector of GHA region during the second dekad (10-20 January) of 2017. Click here to download the document

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Dekad 02-2017

Most of the Greater Horn of Africa (GHA) region has experienced near normal to below normal rainfall during the first dekad of 2017. Rainfall was mainly observed in the southern and western parts of the southern sector as well as south west of the equatorial sector of GHA region during the first dekad (01-10 January) of 2017. Click here to download the complete bulletin

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Season October – December 2016

This bulletin reviews the climate conditions over the Greater Horn of Africa (GHA) region in the period of October to December (OND) 2016 and also provides the outlook for the March to May (MAM) 2017 season. Highlights on the socio-economic impacts associated with the observed climate are also given. During the OND 2016 period the El Nino Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) started in a weak negative phase that extended to a neutral phase as the year ended.  This presented a transition from weak La Nina and negative phase of the IOD into a neutral phases of the systems respectively. Click here to download the complete OND 2016 Bulletin

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Monthly Bulletin: January 2017

Rainfall activities were mainly observed over southern sector of the Greater Horn of Africa (GHA), with areas around southern and eastern parts of the equatorial, and south-central part of the northern sector also recording some rainfall during the month of December 2016. The rainfall performance in most of these areas was however below the average amount indicating moderately dry to extremely dry conditions.  The delayed onset and depressed rainfall over equatorial and southern sector of the GHA region during the month of December 2016 resulted in persistence in deterioration of water and pasture conditions leading to migration of pastoralist, and poor prospect of crop and livestock production., water stress, and effect on hydroelectricity production. Clilck here to download the complete bulletin

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Dekad 01-2017

Most of the Greater Horn of Africa (GHA) region has indicated normal to below normal rainfall during the thirty sixth dekad of 2016. Rainfall was observed in few areas within western and eastern parts of the southern sector as well as southern areas of western and eastern parts of the equatorial sector of GHA region during the thirty sixth dekad (21-31 December) of 2016.  Click here to download the complete bulletin

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Monthly Bulletin: December 2016

Rainfall activities are expected mainly in the southern sector as well as within parts of the equatorial sector of the Greater Horn of Africa (GHA) during the month of November. Rainfall activities were mainly observed over equatorial sector as well as south central part of the northern sector, and north western and north eastern parts of the southern sector of the Greater Horn of Africa (GHA) region. Most of these areas received near average to below average rainfall, except for a few areas in the eastern part of the northern sector and parts of the equatorial sector of the GHA. Click here to download the complete bulletin

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Dekad 33-2016

Rainfall was observed mainly in few areas around the equatorial sector as well as over parts southern sector of the Greater Horn of Africa (GHA) region during the thirty second dekad (11-20 November) of 2016.  The observed rainfall over the GHA region exhibited near normal to above normal conditions associated with enhance rainfall in the equatorial and southern sector. Below average rainfall was observed majorly in the southern part of the northern sector as well as north eastern and north western part of the equatorial sector of the GHA. Click here to download the complete bulletin

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