Greater Horn of Africa Consensus Climate Outlook for September to December 2011

The rainfall outlook for various zones within the sub-region is given below. 

Zone I:        Increased likelihood of near to below normal rainfall over western Tanzania; southern Burundi and southwestern Rwanda.
Zone II:      Increased likelihood of near normal to above normal rainfall over much of Tanzania; northern Burundi; much of Rwanda; western Kenya as well as southern and central Uganda.
Zone III:     Increased likelihood of above to near normal over northeastern and northern coast of Tanzania; coastal, central and northeastern Kenya; extreme southern Ethiopia as well as southern and central Somalia.
Zone IV:     Increased likelihood of to near normal to below normal rainfall over northern Somalia; eastern and southern Ethiopia; northwestern Kenya and northern Uganda.
Zone V:      Increased likelihood of near normal to above normal rainfall over much of South Sudan; western, central and northern Ethiopia and Djibouti.
Zone VI:     Increased likelihood of generally dry conditions over Sudan; northern Ethiopia and much of Eritrea