11 - 18 Jan 2022



Temperature forecast (Anomalies)

Temperature Anomalies 

  • Warmer than average temperatures are expected in most areas of the region except parts of eastern Kenya and central Somalia where near average temperatures are forecasted.
Rainfall forecast (anomalies)

Rainfall Anomalies 

  • Negative rainfall anomalies (depressed rainfall) expected in most parts of Tanzania. 
  • Positive rainfall anomalies (enhanced rainfall) expected in isolated areas of southern Tanzania and southwestern South Sudan
Temperature forecast

Mean Temperature

  • Moderate temperatures between 20 - 32 ℃ are expected in southern Sudan, South Sudan, Uganda, Tanzania; eastern and northern Kenya; much of central and southern Somalia, Djibouti; coastal and western Eritrea; and southern and north-eastern Ethiopia.
  • Relatively cold conditions with temperatures less than 20℃ are expected over northern Sudan, parts of central Ethiopia and Eritrea, western regions of Rwanda and Burundi; central to western Kenya, northern Somalia, and a few areas in Tanzania and south-western Uganda.
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)

Total Rainfall

  • Moderate rainfall between 50 - 100 mm is expected in southern Tanzania with a few areas expected to receive up to 200 mm rainfall.
  • Light rainfall of less than 30 mm is expected in central & northern Tanzania, Burundi, Rwanda, western Uganda, and a few areas along the Eastern Africa coastal strip.
  • Dry conditions are expected in Sudan, much of South Sudan, most parts of Ethiopia, Djibouti, Somalia, Kenya, and eastern Uganda.