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Wetter-Than-Normal Conditions Expected Across Much of the Greater Horn of Africa
Nairobi, Kenya, 27 January 2026: The IGAD Climate Prediction and Applications Centre (ICPAC) in collaboration with member states’ National Meteorological and Hydrological Services (NMHSs), the World Meteorological Organisation (WMO), and partners, has released the regional climate outlook for the March to May (MAM) 2026 rainfall season, following the 72nd Greater Horn of Africa Climate Outlook Forum (GHACOF 72) held in Nairobi, Kenya from 26–27 January 2026.
Key Highlights of the MAM 2026 Climate Outlook
Rainfall Outlook
- The outlook indicates a 45% probability of wetter-than-normal rainfall conditions over much of the Greater Horn of Africa, including most parts of Uganda, Rwanda, …
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Rethinking Climate Change and its Impacts on Health in Eastern Africa in light of the COVID-19 Pandemic: Part 1
Lead Author: Dr Esther Onyango, Environmental Futures Research Institute at Griffith University, Australia
Contributions by ICPAC Climate Change Technical Working Group
COVID-19 is a stark reminder of the size of the human ecological footprint …
Desert Locust Prediction 1-15 May
Highest risk areas for Desert Locust invasion based on forecasted climate conditions and existing vegetation suitable for an invasion are outlined below:
- The country with most suitable climatic and ecological conditions for invasion is South …
Flood Alert - 10 Days Forecast 21 to 30 April 2020
Flood Alert: Shebele River
Communities along the Shebele River in Mustahil (Ethiopia) and Beletwein (Somalia) and downstream towns are advised to take precautions due to the high level of flood risk in the coming two …
Desert Locust Prediction 16-30 April
The most infested areas are rangelands of Kenya and Ethiopia.
- Wind direction, which greatly determine swarm movement, forecasted to be generally southerly (blowing from south to north) in Uganda, Rwanda, Burundi and Tanzania.
- Sudan and …
Desert Locust Invasion in Eastern Africa
Lead Authors: Jasper Batureine Mwesigwa and Kenneth Kemucie Mwangi. Contributions by ICPAC Climate Change Technical Working Group
The 2019–2020 Desert Locust Invasion
Approximately 70% of the rural populations in Sub Saharan Africa rely mainly on …
Desert Locust Prediction 15-25 March
Crop season: Highest risk of destruction in South Sudan, Ethiopia, Eritrea and Sudan crop areas. Most of the region falls under high risk due to favourable forecasted temperatures and vegetation, suitable for Desert Locust reproduction …