Weekly Forecast

At ICPAC we use the Weather Research and Forecasting Model (WRF) to produce our forecasts in a resolution of 10 x 10 Km. Our weekly forecasts are very popular and help stakeholders prepare for extreme weather, and mitigate risks associated with floods, drought or heavy rainfall.

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28 February - 06 March 2024

Rainfall

Temperature

Heavy rainfall

Exceptional rainfall

  • Heavy to very heavy rainfall (reaching the 95th percentile) expected in parts of central to northern Tanzania and most parts of Burundi.
Rainfall forecast (anomalies)

Rainfall anomalies

  • Wetter than usual conditions expected over most parts of central to northern Tanzania, Burundi, Rwanda, Uganda, southern regions of South Sudan, central to south-western Ethiopia, and parts of south-western Kenya.
  • Drier than usual conditions expected in western and south-western border regions of Tanzania.
Floods update
  • n Burundi and central Tanzania, the expected  moderate to heavy rainfall is likely to lead to flooding in the flood-prone areas.
Temperature forecast (Anomalies)

Temperature anomalies

  • Warmer than usual temperatures predicted over most parts of the GHA.
Temperature forecast

Mean temperatures

  • High temperatures (above 32℃) expected over parts of eastern South Sudan spanning to south-western Ethiopia, and north-western Kenya.
  • Moderate to high temperatures (20-32℃) expected over most parts of Tanzania, Uganda, Kenya, South Sudan, central to southern Sudan, western and eastern Ethiopia, Eritrea, Djibouti, eastern Burundi, eastern Rwanda and Somalia.
  • Mild temperature conditions (less than 20℃) expected over parts of northern Sudan, central Ethiopia, central to western Kenya, and western regions of both Rwanda and Burundi.
Heat Stress

Heat Stress

  • Elevated levels of heat stress are expected in eastern Tanzania, eastern and northern Kenya, central to southern Somalia, and most parts of South Sudan.
Rainfall forecast

Total rainfall

  • Moderate rainfall (50-200mm) expected over most parts of central to southern Uganda, Rwanda, Burundi, and Tanzania.
  • Light rainfall (less than 50 mm) expected in eastern Uganda, western  and eastern Kenya, southern South Sudan, southern Somalia and central Ethiopia.
  • Dry conditions expected over most parts of Sudan, central to northern South Sudan, western and southern Eritrea, Djibouti, western and eastern Ethiopia, central Somalia, and central to northern Kenya.

Weekly Forecasts

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Temperature forecast
Temperature forecast
  • Moderate temperatures (20-32 ℃) expected in most parts of the country.
27 - 6 March 2024 Read More
Heavy rainfall
Heavy rainfall

Exceptional rainfall

  • Heavy to very heavy rainfall (reaching the 95th percentile) expected in parts of central to northern Tanzania and most parts of Burundi.
27 - 6 March 2024 Read More
Temperature forecast
Temperature forecast
  • Moderate temperatures (20 - 32 ℃) expected over the whole country, with temperatures above 32 ℃ on the eastern regions.
27 - 6 March 2024 Read More
Rainfall forecast
Rainfall forecast
  • Dry conditions expected in most parts of the country, with light rainfall in the southern regions.
27 - 6 March 2024 Read More
Rainfall forecast
Rainfall forecast
  • Dry conditions expected over most parts Somalia with light rainfall in the north-western and southern regions.
27 - 6 March 2024 Read More
Rainfall forecast (anomalies)
Rainfall forecast (anomalies)

Rainfall anomalies

  • Wetter than usual conditions expected over most parts of central to northern Tanzania, Burundi, Rwanda, Uganda, southern regions of South Sudan, central to south-western Ethiopia, and parts of south-western Kenya.
  • Drier than usual …
27 - 6 March 2024 Read More