Weekly Forecast

20 - 27 April 2021

Rainfall

Rainfall forecast

Heavy rainfall

Temperature

Temperature Forecast

Warm temperatures above 32℃ are expected in northern and eastern South Sudan; parts of central, southern and eastern Sudan; parts of western and central Eritrea; and north-eastern Ethiopia.
Moderate temperatures between 20 - 32℃ are expected in northern Sudan, western South Sudan, Uganda, western and eastern Tanzania, northern and eastern Kenya, Somalia, Djibouti, much of Eritrea, and southern, western and eastern Ethiopia.
Relatively cold conditions with temperatures less than 20℃ are expected in central Ethiopia, central and south-western Kenya, Rwanda, Burundi, and parts of central and southern Tanzania.

Rainfall Forecast

Headline: North-eastern Somalia continues to be dry, indicating risk for crops and water supply. Heavy to very heavy rainfall is expected in north-eastern Kenya, southern Ethiopia and south-western Somalia.

Heavy to very heavy rainfall (top 10 to 5% on record) is expected in parts of Mandera county in Kenya, southern and north-eastern parts of Ethiopia, and Gedo, Bakool, Middle and Lower Shabelle states of Somalia. The weekly total rainfall in these regions is expected to be between 50 - 200 mm.
Moderate rainfall between 50 - 100 mm is expected in Rwanda, Burundi, parts of north-western and eastern Tanzania, central and northern Kenya, central to southern Somalia, southern and central Ethiopia, south-eastern Sudan, western South Sudan, and western Uganda.
Light rainfall of less than 30 mm is expected in central and southern Tanzania, south-eastern and north-western Kenya, northern Somalia, many parts of Ethiopia, southern Sudan, eastern South Sudan, and eastern Uganda.
Dry conditions are expected in central and northern Sudan, much of Eritrea, Djibouti, north-eastern Somalia, parts of south-eastern and isolated regions in Kenya, South Sudan, and Tanzania.

Note: 1 mm of rainfall is equivalent to 1 litre of rainfall per square meter.

Rainfall Forecast

Heavy to very heavy rainfall (top 10 to 5% on record) is expected in parts of Mandera county in Kenya, southern and north-eastern parts of Ethiopia, and Gedo, Bakool, Middle and Lower Shabelle states of Somalia. The weekly total rainfall in these regions is expected to be between 50 - 200 mm.
Moderate rainfall between 50 - 100 mm is expected in Rwanda, Burundi, parts of north-western and eastern Tanzania, central and northern Kenya, central to southern Somalia, southern and central Ethiopia, south-eastern Sudan, western South Sudan, and western Uganda.
Light rainfall of less than 30 mm is expected in central and southern Tanzania, south-eastern and north-western Kenya, northern Somalia, many parts of Ethiopia, southern Sudan, eastern South Sudan, and eastern Uganda.
Dry conditions are expected in central and northern Sudan, much of Eritrea, Djibouti, north-eastern Somalia, parts of south-eastern and isolated regions in Kenya, South Sudan, and Tanzania.

Note: 1 mm of rainfall is equivalent to 1 litre of rainfall per square meter.