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Weekly Forecast

At ICPAC we use the Weather Research and Forecasting Model (WRF) to produce our forecasts in a resolution of 10 x 10 Km. Our weekly forecasts are very popular and help stakeholders prepare for extreme weather, and mitigate risks associated with floods, drought or heavy rainfall.

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25 Jan-01 Feb 2022

Rainfall

Temperature

Temperature forecast (Anomalies)

Temperature anomalies 

  • Warmer than average temperatures expected in most areas of Djibouti, Ethiopia, northern Somalia, eastern Kenya, Uganda, and Tanzania.
  • Colder than average temperatures expected in Sudan, western South Sudan, parts of eastern Kenya, and other isolated regions within the Greater Horn of Africa.
Temperature forecast

Mean temperature

  • Moderate temperatures (between 20 - 32 ℃) expected in southern Sudan, South Sudan, much of Uganda, eastern and northern Kenya, much of Somalia, Djibouti, coastal Eritrea, south-eastern and north-eastern Ethiopia, and most places in Tanzania.
  • Relatively cold conditions (less than 20℃) expected in most parts of Sudan, central Ethiopia, western Eritrea, and in some areas of northern Somalia, Rwanda, Burundi, central to western Kenya, Tanzania, and south-western Uganda.
Heavy rainfall

Exceptional rainfall

  • Heavy to very rainfall (top 10-5%) expected over the Lindi and Ruvuma regions of southern Tanzania.
Rainfall forecast (anomalies)

Rainfall anomalies 

  • Heavier than usual rainfall expected over the southern and eastern regions of Tanzania.
  • Lighter than usual rainfall expected over northern Tanzania, Rwanda and Burundi.
Rainfall forecast

Headline: Heavier than usual rainfall expected in southern Tanzania whilst most of east Africa remains dry. Moderate temperatures, in the range of 20-32 ℃, expected across the regions.

Total Rainfall

  • Moderate to heavy rainfall expected in southern Tanzania, especially over the Lindi and Ruvuma regions. Moderate rainfall forecasted over central and western Tanzania, and eastern Burundi.
  • Light rainfall expected in coastal parts of Eritrea and Sudan, Burundi, and parts of central Tanzania.
  • Dry conditions expected in Sudan, South Sudan, western Eritrea, Ethiopia, Somalia, Kenya, Uganda, eastern Rwanda, and northern Tanzania.

Weekly Forecasts

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Rainfall forecast (anomalies)
Rainfall forecast (anomalies)

Rainfall anomalies 

  • Heavier than usual rainfall expected over the southern and eastern regions of Tanzania.
  • Lighter than usual rainfall expected over northern Tanzania, Rwanda and Burundi.
25 - 1 February 2022 Read More
Temperature forecast (Anomalies)
Temperature forecast (Anomalies)

Temperature anomalies 

  • Warmer than average temperatures expected in most areas of Djibouti, Ethiopia, northern Somalia, eastern Kenya, Uganda, and Tanzania.
  • Colder than average temperatures expected in Sudan, western South Sudan, parts of eastern Kenya, and …
25 - 1 February 2022 Read More
Heavy rainfall
Heavy rainfall

Exceptional rainfall

  • Heavy to very rainfall (top 10-5%) expected over the Lindi and Ruvuma regions of southern Tanzania.
25 - 1 February 2022 Read More
Temperature forecast
Temperature forecast

Mean temperature

  • Moderate temperatures (between 20 - 32 ℃) expected in southern Sudan, South Sudan, much of Uganda, eastern and northern Kenya, much of Somalia, Djibouti, coastal Eritrea, south-eastern and north-eastern Ethiopia, and most places …
25 - 1 February 2022 Read More