Weekly forecast
At ICPAC we use the Weather Research and Forecasting Model (WRF) to produce our forecasts in a resolution of 10 x 10 Km. Our weekly forecasts are very popular and help stakeholders prepare for extreme weather, and mitigate risks associated with floods, drought or heavy rainfall.
Weekly forecast 04 -11 August
Rainfall
Temperature
Heavy rainfall above 200 mm is expected over few areas of central and northern Ethiopia, southern parts of Sudan and the South Sudan-Sudan border, and adjacent areas.
Moderate rainfall between 50 mm and 200 mm is expected over much of central, western, and northern Ethiopia extending to Eritrea, parts of north-western Somalia, much of South Sudan, southern parts of Sudan, northern parts of Uganda, and parts of western Kenya.
Light rains below 50 mm expected in central and southern Uganda; north-western, central and coastal Kenya; southern parts of Somalia, Djibouti, south-eastern and north-eastern Ethiopia, much of Eritrea, and central and northern parts of Sudan.
Much of Tanzania, Rwanda, Burundi, southern and eastern Kenya, south-eastern tip of Ethiopia, and central Somalia are expected to remain dry.
High daily-mean temperatures above 32 ℃ expected over northern parts of Sudan, coastal parts of Eritrea, Djibouti and northern Somalia, and parts of north-eastern Ethiopia.
Moderate daily-mean temperatures between 20 and 32℃ are expected over Somalia, south-eastern and much of north-eastern Ethiopia, much of Eritrea, Djibouti, much of Kenya, Uganda, South Sudan, central and southern parts of Sudan, eastern Rwanda, and much of western and coastal Tanzania.
Low daily-mean temperatures below 20℃ expected over central and western parts of Kenya extending to south-eastern Uganda, western Rwanda, Burundi, south-western and central Tanzania, much of western half of Ethiopia and parts in the eastern region.
Weekly forecasts
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Rainfall forecast
Heavy rainfall above 200 mm is expected over few areas of central and northern Ethiopia, southern parts of Sudan and the South Sudan-Sudan border, and adjacent areas.
Moderate rainfall between 50 mm and 200 mm …
Temperature forecast
High daily-mean temperatures above 32 ℃ expected over northern parts of Sudan, coastal parts of Eritrea, Djibouti and northern Somalia, and parts of north-eastern Ethiopia.
Moderate daily-mean temperatures between 20 and 32℃ are expected over …
Rainfall forecast
- Heavy rainfall above 200mm forecasted in northern Ethiopia, parts of Eritrea, southern parts of Sudan and parts of northern South Sudan
- Moderate rainfall, 50-200mm forecasted in southern Sudan, much of South Sudan, central and …
Temperature forecast
- High temperatures above 32 oC forecasted in northern Sudan, northern coast of Eritrea into the northeastern Ethiopia.
- Moderate temperatures between 20-32 oC forecasted in southern Sudan, South Sudan, north & southeastern Ethiopia, Djibouti, Somalia, eastern …
Temperature forecast
- High temperatures above 30oC are forecasted in central Sudan, coastal Eritrea, northeastern Ethiopia, Djibouti and northern coastal Somalia
- Moderate temperatures between 20-30oC expected over South Sudan, northern Uganda, eastern & northwestern Kenya, much of Somalia, …
Rainfall forecast
- Heavy rainfall above 200 mm forecasted in central and northern Ethiopia, parts of central Eritrea, parts of southern Sudan and parts of central South Sudan
- Moderate rainfall in the range 50-200 mm is forecasted in …
