Weekly Forecast
At ICPAC we use the Weather Research and Forecasting Model (WRF) to produce our forecasts in a resolution of 10 x 10 Km. Our weekly forecasts are very popular and help stakeholders prepare for extreme weather, and mitigate risks associated with floods, drought or heavy rainfall.
28 June - 05 July 2022
Rainfall
Temperature

Temperature anomalies
- Warmer than average temperatures expected in most parts of the region except areas of western Sudan and cross-border regions of Kenya-Ethiopia-Somalia where cooler than average temperatures are expected.

Rainfall anomalies
- Wetter than average conditions expected over most parts of central and western Sudan and south-western Ethiopia.
- Drier than average conditions predicted over most parts of South Sudan and Uganda, parts of western Kenya, southern South Sudan, northern Ethiopia, and western Eritrea.
Exceptional rainfall
- Heavy to very heavy (top 10-5%) rainfall expected over eastern and western parts of South Sudan, western Ethiopia, south-eastern Sudan, and parts of central Kenya.

Mean temperature
- Hot conditions (above 32 ℃) expected over central and northern Sudan, Afar region in north-eastern Ethiopia, coastal Eritrea, Djibouti, and north-western coastal regions of Somalia.
- Moderate temperatures (20 - 32 ℃) expected over southern, western and coastal Sudan, South Sudan, central to northern Uganda, north-eastern and south-eastern Ethiopia, Somalia, northern and eastern Kenya, and parts of western and eastern Tanzania.
- Cold conditions (less than 20℃) expected in parts of central to southern Ethiopia, central to south-western Kenya, southern Uganda, Rwanda, Burundi, and parts of northern, central, and southern Tanzania.

Total rainfall
- Heavy rainfall (above 200mm) predicted over parts of central Ethiopia.
- Moderate rainfall (50-200mm) expected over southern Sudan into northern South Sudan, western Ethiopia, and north-western Eritrea.
- Light rainfall (less than 50 mm) expected over central Sudan, southern South Sudan, north-eastern Uganda, western and coastal Kenya, southern Somalia, and eastern and southern Tanzania.
- Dry conditions expected over northern Sudan, parts of southern Eritrea, north-eastern and south-eastern Ethiopia, northern Somalia, northern, eastern, and south-eastern Kenya, southern Uganda, Rwanda, Burundi, and central to western Tanzania.
Weekly Forecasts
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Temperature forecast (Anomalies)
Temperature anomalies
- Warmer than average temperatures expected in most parts of the region except areas of western Sudan and cross-border regions of Kenya-Ethiopia-Somalia where cooler than average temperatures are expected.

Rainfall forecast (anomalies)
Rainfall anomalies
- Wetter than average conditions expected over most parts of central and western Sudan and south-western Ethiopia.
- Drier than average conditions predicted over most parts of South Sudan and Uganda, parts of western Kenya, …
Heavy rainfall
Exceptional rainfall
- Heavy to very heavy (top 10-5%) rainfall expected over eastern and western parts of South Sudan, western Ethiopia, south-eastern Sudan, and parts of central Kenya.

Temperature forecast
Mean temperature
- Hot conditions (above 32 ℃) expected over central and northern Sudan, Afar region in north-eastern Ethiopia, coastal Eritrea, Djibouti, and north-western coastal regions of Somalia.
- Moderate temperatures (20 - 32 ℃) expected over …