Weekly Forecast
At ICPAC we use the Weather Research and Forecasting Model (WRF) to produce our forecasts in a resolution of 10 x 10 Km. Our weekly forecasts are very popular and help stakeholders prepare for extreme weather, and mitigate risks associated with floods, drought or heavy rainfall.
24 June - 01 July 2025
Rainfall
Temperature
Rainfall anomalies
- More than usual rainfall expected over L. Victoria Basin in Kenya, northern Uganda, several places in central and western South Sudan, western Ethiopia, and part of North Darfur.
- Less than usual rainfall expected over southern Sudan, western Eritrea, central to northern Ethiopia, parts of central and eastern South Sudan, and parts of Uganda.
Temperature anomalies
- Warmer than usual temperatures expected over most parts of the GHA.
- Rainfall exceeding the 90th percentile (the highest 10% on record)expected over western Ethiopia and isolated areas in South Sudan, Sudan and western Eritrea.
- There is a likelihood of Flooding incidences over the flood prone areas in pockets of western Ethiopia.
Mean temperatures
- High temperatures (> 32℃) expected in parts of central to eastern Sudan, Afar region in Ethiopia, Djibouti, northern coastal Somalia, and northern coastal and southern regions of Eritrea.
- Moderate to high temperatures (20-32℃) expected over most parts Sudan, South Sudan, central to northern Uganda, north-western and eastern Tanzania, eastern and northern Kenya, south-eastern Ethiopia, and most parts of Somalia.
- Mild temperature conditions (less than 20℃) expected over Rwanda, Burundi, southern Uganda, central to southern Tanzania, central to south-western Kenya, and central to western Ethiopia.
Heat Stress
- Elevated heat stress levels expected in parts of south-eastern Sudan, northern South Sudan, Afar region in Ethiopia, Djibouti, coastal Eritrea, and parts of north-western coast of Somalia.
Total rainfall
- Moderate rainfall (50-200mm) expected in western Ethiopia, South Sudan, southern areas of Sudan, northern Uganda, and around the Lake Victoria Basin in Kenya.
- Light rainfall (less than 50 mm) expected over central to southern parts of Uganda, coastal and central to western Kenya, southern coastal Somalia, central Ethiopia, south-eastern South Sudan, central Sudan, and western Eritrea.
Weekly Forecasts
Filter by Product Type
Filter by Region
Filter by Year
Filter by Month
Showing 2061 results
Temperature forecast (Anomalies)
Temperature anomalies
- Warmer than usual temperatures expected over most parts of the GHA.
Rainfall forecast
- Light to moderate rainfall is expected over southern and northern regions.
Rainfall forecast (anomalies)
Rainfall anomalies
- More than usual rainfall expected over L. Victoria Basin in Kenya, northern Uganda, several places in central and western South Sudan, western Ethiopia, and part of North Darfur.
- Less than usual rainfall expected …
Heavy rainfall
- Rainfall exceeding the 90th percentile (the highest 10% on record)expected over western Ethiopia and isolated areas in South Sudan, Sudan and western Eritrea.
Heat Stress
Heat Stress
- Elevated heat stress levels expected in parts of south-eastern Sudan, northern South Sudan, Afar region in Ethiopia, Djibouti, coastal Eritrea, and parts of north-western coast of Somalia.
Rainfall forecast
Total rainfall
- Moderate rainfall (50-200mm) expected in western Ethiopia, South Sudan, southern areas of Sudan, northern Uganda, and around the Lake Victoria Basin in Kenya.
- Light rainfall (less than 50 mm) expected over central to …