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Weekly Forecast

At ICPAC we use the Weather Research and Forecasting Model (WRF) to produce our forecasts in a resolution of 10 x 10 Km. Our weekly forecasts are very popular and help stakeholders prepare for extreme weather, and mitigate risks associated with floods, drought or heavy rainfall.

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19-26 Jan 2021

Rainfall

Temperature

Temperature forecast

Temperature

  • Warm temperatures above 28 ℃ are expected in eastern South Sudan, including Jonglei and Eastern Equatorial States; north-eastern and eastern Kenya including Turkana, Marsabit and Wajir counties; parts of southern Somalia, south-eastern Ethiopia, and southern Tanzania.
  • Moderate conditions in the range of 20 - 28℃ are expected in southern Sudan, western South Sudan, central to northern Uganda, parts of eastern and northern Kenya, much of Somalia; southern, north-eastern and western Ethiopia; Djibouti, much of Eritrea, and much of Tanzania.
  • Relatively cold conditions with temperatures less than 20℃ expected in northern Sudan, central Ethiopia, northern Somalia, western Kenya, Rwanda, Burundi, a few areas in Uganda, and Tanzania.
Rainfall forecast

Headline: Rainfall expected in most of Tanzania, Rwanda, and Burundi.

Rainfall

  • Heavy rainfall between 100 to 200 mm (within the top 10% to 5% on record) is expected in few places in central Tanzania.
  • Rainfall amounts above 100 mm are expected in a few places in central to southern Tanzania, and parts of Burundi.
  • Amounts between 30-100 mm are expected in northern Tanzania, Burundi, Rwanda, a few isolated places in southern Uganda, central Kenya, and south-western Ethiopia.
  • Dry conditions are expected over Sudan, northern South Sudan, northern and south-eastern Ethiopia, Djibouti, central Somalia, north-eastern Uganda, and northern and eastern Kenya.
Heavy rainfall

Headline: Rainfall expected in most of Tanzania, Rwanda, and Burundi.

Rainfall

  • Heavy rainfall between 100 to 200 mm (within the top 10% to 5% on record) is expected in few places in central Tanzania.
  • Rainfall amounts above 100 mm are expected in a few places in central to southern Tanzania, and parts of Burundi.
  • Amounts between 30-100 mm are expected in northern Tanzania, Burundi, Rwanda, a few isolated places in southern Uganda, central Kenya, and south-western Ethiopia.
  • Dry conditions are expected over Sudan, northern South Sudan, northern and south-eastern Ethiopia, Djibouti, central Somalia, north-eastern Uganda, and northern and eastern Kenya.

Weekly Forecasts

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Temperature forecast
Temperature forecast

Temperature

  • Warm temperatures above 28 ℃ are expected in eastern South Sudan, including Jonglei and Eastern Equatorial States; north-eastern and eastern Kenya including Turkana, Marsabit and Wajir counties; parts of southern Somalia, south-eastern Ethiopia, and …
19 - 26 January 2021 Read More
Rainfall forecast
Rainfall forecast

Headline: Rainfall expected in most of Tanzania, Rwanda, and Burundi.

Rainfall

  • Heavy rainfall between 100 to 200 mm (within the top 10% to 5% on record) is expected in few places in central Tanzania.
  • Rainfall …
19 - 26 January 2021 Read More