Weekly Forecast

At ICPAC we use the Weather Research and Forecasting Model (WRF) to produce our forecasts in a resolution of 10 x 10 Km. Our weekly forecasts are very popular and help stakeholders prepare for extreme weather, and mitigate risks associated with floods, drought or heavy rainfall.

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11 - 18 June 2024

Rainfall

Temperature

Heavy rainfall

Exceptional rainfall

  • Rainfall amounts exceeding the top 10% on record expected over a few areas in southern Sudan, western Ethiopia and western South Sudan. 
Floods update

Floods Update

  • The expected heavy rainfall over parts of southern Sudan, western Ethiopia and western South Sudan is likely to lead to flooding in these areas.
  • Communities in the areas at risk are advised to exercise caution during this period as indicated above.
Rainfall forecast (anomalies)

Rainfall anomalies

  • More than usual rainfall expected over parts of southern Sudan, western South Sudan, north-western Ethiopia and western Eritrea.  
  • Less than usual rainfall expected in Uganda, western Kenya, central to eastern South Sudan and parts of southern Ethiopia. 
Temperature forecast (Anomalies)

Temperature anomalies

  • Warmer than usual temperatures predicted over most parts of the GHA. 
Temperature forecast

Mean temperatures

  • High temperatures (above 32℃) expected over central to northern Sudan, Djibouti, Eritrea, north-eastern Ethiopia, and parts of north-western Somalia.  
  • Moderate to high temperatures (20-32℃) expected over most parts of South Sudan, Somalia, eastern and northern Kenya, central to northern Uganda, and southern and north-western Tanzania. 
  • Mild temperature conditions (less than 20℃) expected over Rwanda, Burundi, and parts of central to southern Tanzania, central to western Kenya and central to southern Ethiopia.  
Heat Stress

Heat Stress

  • Highest levels of heat stress expected in eastern of Sudan, parts of Eritrea, Djibouti and north-western Somalia. 
Rainfall forecast

Total rainfall

  • Moderate rainfall (50-200mm) expected over parts of central to western South Sudan, western Ethiopia, southern Sudan, and parts of western Kenya. 
  • Light rainfall (less than 50 mm) expected in central Sudan, eastern South Sudan, eastern Uganda, western Kenya, central to southern Somalia and western Eritrea.    

Weekly Forecasts

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Heat Stress
Heat Stress

Heat Stress

  • Highest levels of heat stress expected in eastern of Sudan, parts of Eritrea, Djibouti and north-western Somalia. 
11 - 18 June 2024 Read More
Rainfall forecast
Rainfall forecast
  • Light rainfall (less than 30 mm) to dry conditions expected in parts of the country.
11 - 18 June 2024 Read More
Temperature forecast (Anomalies)
Temperature forecast (Anomalies)

Temperature anomalies

  • Warmer than usual temperatures predicted over most parts of the GHA. 
11 - 18 June 2024 Read More
Rainfall forecast (anomalies)
Rainfall forecast (anomalies)

Rainfall anomalies

  • More than usual rainfall expected over parts of southern Sudan, western South Sudan, north-western Ethiopia and western Eritrea.  
  • Less than usual rainfall expected in Uganda, western Kenya, central to eastern South Sudan and …
11 - 18 June 2024 Read More
Heavy rainfall
Heavy rainfall

Exceptional rainfall

  • Rainfall amounts exceeding the top 10% on record expected over a few areas in southern Sudan, western Ethiopia and western South Sudan. 
11 - 18 June 2024 Read More
Rainfall forecast
Rainfall forecast

Total rainfall

  • Moderate rainfall (50-200mm) expected over parts of central to western South Sudan, western Ethiopia, southern Sudan, and parts of western Kenya. 
  • Light rainfall (less than 50 mm) expected in central Sudan, eastern South …
11 - 18 June 2024 Read More