Publications

The June to September (JJAS) 2026 rainfall outlook indicates a high likelihood of below-normal rainfall across most parts of the Greater Horn of Africa, where JJAS is the main season, particularly in South Sudan, Uganda, …

Eastern Africa faces recurrent droughts, floods, and heat extremes that interact with fragility, conflict, displacement, and poverty. This article argues for integrated anticipatory risk governance through Anticipatory Action (AA), climate and disaster risk financing and …

Drought hotspots across Eastern Africa, including eastern Kenya, Somalia, central Uganda, southern Ethiopia, and parts of Tanzania, are recovering following February 2026 rains. Standardized Precipitation Index analysis, for February 2026, confirms significant rainfall improvements across …

With near normal to above normal rainfall forecast for the MAM 2026 season across East Africa, countries must proactively address anticipated health risks while capitalizing on positive impacts. Expected improvements in food security and nutrition …

The 5th Sub-Regional Climate Outlook Forum (Sub-COF5) was held on 10–12 February 2026 in Moyale, Ethiopia, focusing on the Marsabit–Borana cross-border region (IGAD Cluster II). Convened by ICPAC in collaboration with regional and national partners, …

Several drought hotspots have persisted across Eastern Africa, including eastern Kenya, large parts of Somalia, central Uganda, southern Ethiopia and some areas in central and northern parts of Tanzania. Analysis of November to January rainfall …

Download our Summary for Decision Makers with impacts and advisories for the March-May 2026 season for the following sectors: 

• Disaster Risk Management
• Agriculture and Food Security
• Water and Energy
• Health and nutrition
• Livestock
• Conflict, Peace …

The Eastern Africa Anticipatory Action Newsletter 2025 Newsletter highlights key milestones achieved in advancing AA and Disaster Risk Management (DRM) across the Greater Horn of Africa (GHoA). It documents regional achievements in coordination, national DRM …

March to May (MAM) constitutes an important rainfall season, particularly in the equatorial parts of the Greater Horn of Africa (GHA), where MAM rainfall contributes up to 60% of the total annual rainfall. The performance …