Weekly Forecast

At ICPAC we use the Weather Research and Forecasting Model (WRF) to produce our forecasts in a resolution of 10 x 10 Km. Our weekly forecasts are very popular and help stakeholders prepare for extreme weather, and mitigate risks associated with floods, drought or heavy rainfall.

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04 - 11 October 2022

Rainfall

Temperature

Temperature forecast (Anomalies)

Temperature anomalies 

  • Warmer than usual temperatures expected over Eritrea, most parts of Ethiopia, northern Sudan, southern South Sudan, Uganda, Rwanda, Burundi, and isolated areas in western Kenya.
  • Colder than usual temperatures predicted over parts of eastern Kenya, coastal, central and southern Tanzania, and northern South Sudan
Rainfall forecast (anomalies)

Rainfall anomalies

  • Wetter than usual conditions expected over parts of southern Sudan, north-western South Sudan, western and central to eastern Ethiopia, and northern Somalia.
  • Drier than usual conditions predicted over Rwanda, Burundi, Uganda, most parts of South Sudan, southern Ethiopia, western Kenya, and central to southern Somalia.
Heavy rainfall

Exceptional rainfall

  • Heavy to very heavy (top 10-5%) rainfall expected over parts of northern Somalia and isolated places in western and central to eastern Ethiopia.
Temperature forecast

Mean temperatures

  • Hot conditions (above 32 ℃) expected over isolated areas in the Afar region of Ethiopia.
  • Moderate temperatures (20 - 32 ℃) expected over most parts of Sudan, South Sudan, Eritrea, Somalia, eastern and northern Kenya, eastern Ethiopia, central to northern Uganda, and most parts of Tanzania.
  • Cold conditions (less than 20℃) expected in central to western Ethiopia, parts of central to western Kenya, western Rwanda and Burundi, parts of north-eastern to southern Tanzania, and southern Uganda.
Rainfall forecast

Total rainfall

  • Moderate rainfall (50-200mm) expected over south-western Sudan, western and northern South Sudan, western and central to eastern Ethiopia, northern Somalia, western Uganda, and a few parts in central to western Kenya.
  • Light rainfall (less than 50 mm) expected over central to southern Sudan, eastern South Sudan, northern and southern Ethiopia, most parts of Somalia, Rwanda, Burundi, isolated areas in western, southern, and eastern Kenya, eastern Uganda, and northern and coastal regions of Tanzania.
  • Dry conditions expected over northern Sudan, north-western Eritrea, northern and eastern Kenya, and most parts of Tanzania.

Weekly Forecasts

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Temperature forecast
Temperature forecast
  • Moderate temperatures between 20 - 32 ℃ expected most parts of the country.
4 - 11 October 2022 Read More
Temperature forecast (Anomalies)
Temperature forecast (Anomalies)

Temperature anomalies 

  • Warmer than usual temperatures expected over Eritrea, most parts of Ethiopia, northern Sudan, southern South Sudan, Uganda, Rwanda, Burundi, and isolated areas in western Kenya.
  • Colder than usual temperatures predicted over parts of …
4 - 11 October 2022 Read More
Temperature forecast
Temperature forecast
  • Moderate temperatures between 20 - 32 ℃ expected over most parts of the country.
4 - 11 October 2022 Read More
Rainfall forecast
Rainfall forecast
  • Moderate rainfall (50-200 mm) expected over southern, central to western parts of the country.
  • Light rainfall (less than 50 mm) expected over south-eastern parts of the country.
4 - 11 October 2022 Read More
Rainfall forecast
Rainfall forecast
  • Moderate rainfall (50-200mm) expected over northern Somalia.
  • Light rainfall (less than 50 mm) expected from central to southern parts of the country.
4 - 11 October 2022 Read More
Rainfall forecast (anomalies)
Rainfall forecast (anomalies)

Rainfall anomalies

  • Wetter than usual conditions expected over parts of southern Sudan, north-western South Sudan, western and central to eastern Ethiopia, and northern Somalia.
  • Drier than usual conditions predicted over Rwanda, Burundi, Uganda, most parts …
4 - 11 October 2022 Read More