EarlyWarning4IGAD

Towards actionable impact-based early warning in Africa: integrating exposure and vulnerability into early warning systems – a pilot study in the IGAD region

Towards actionable impact-based early warning in Africa

The project aims to transition from hazard-based early warning to impact-based early warning in the IGAD region. It involves integrating exposure and vulnerability information into existing Early Warning Systems (EWS) and Decision Support Systems (DSS). The project pilot study locations include Ethiopia and Kenya, with plans for scaling up across other member states of the IGAD region. The focus is on designing and developing a robust approach and methodology for impact-based EWS to enhance disaster preparedness and response.

Our Areas of Work

Evaluation of existing Early Warning Systems in IGAD

The review and evaluation of the existing early warning systems in the IGAD region and needs and gaps highlighted

Integration of exposure and vulnerability into East Africa Hazard watch

Co-develop approach and methodology for integrating relevant actionable exposure such as people, infrastructure, ecosystems, and agriculture in addition to related social, economic, ecological, and physical vulnerability information into existing Early Warning System in the region.

Impact-based forecasting

Update the existing East Africa Hazard and Drought Watch by incorporating Impact Based Forecasting.

Capacity Building

Strengthen the capacities of relevant stakeholders to design, implement, and scale up impact-based Early Warning Systems through capacity strengthening and training.

Latest Updates

Climate-health March - May 2026 Advisories
Publication
Climate-health March - May 2026 Advisories

With near normal to above normal rainfall forecast for the MAM 2026 season across East Africa, coun…

Climate Watch Advisory: The Evolving Dry Conditions in Eastern Africa - February 2026 Update
Publication
Climate Watch Advisory: The Evolving Dry Conditions in Eastern Africa - February 2026 Update

Several drought hotspots have persisted across Eastern Africa, including eastern Kenya, large parts…

Summary for Decision Makers, March to May 2026 Season
Report
Summary for Decision Makers, March to May 2026 Season

Download our Summary for Decision Makers with impacts and advisories for the March-May 2026 season …

Technical Statement from the 72nd Greater Horn of Africa Climate Outlook Forum (GHACOF72)
Report
Technical Statement from the 72nd Greater Horn of Africa Climate Outlook Forum (GHACOF72)

March to May (MAM) constitutes an important rainfall season, particularly in the equatorial parts o…