Featured Publications
Climate Watch Advisory: The Dry Conditions in Eastern Africa - March 2026 Update
Drought hotspots across Eastern Africa, including eastern Kenya, Somalia, central Uganda, southern …
Climate-health March - May 2026 Advisories
With near normal to above normal rainfall forecast for the MAM 2026 season across East Africa, coun…
Climate Watch Advisory: The Evolving Dry Conditions in Eastern Africa - February 2026 Update
Several drought hotspots have persisted across Eastern Africa, including eastern Kenya, large parts…
March-MAY (MAM) 2026 SEASONAL FORECAST FOR IGAD CLUSTER II
The 5th Sub-Regional Climate Outlook Forum (Sub-COF5) was held on 10–12 February 2026 in Moyale, Et…
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Summary for Decision Makers, March to May 2024 Season
Get our latest Summary for Decision Makers, addressing key sectors including:
- Disaster Risk Management
- Agriculture and Food Security
- Water and Energy
- Health and Nutrition
- Livestock
For optimal use of seasonal forecasts, integrate them with weekly …
Technical Statement from the 66th Greater Horn of Africa Climate Outlook Forum (GHACOF66)
The IGAD Climate Prediction and Applications Centre (ICPAC) released the March to May 2024 seasonal forecast which indicates a higher probability of wetter-than-normal conditions across most parts of the Greater Horn of Africa. Notably, the …
Trends of Hunger and Food Insecurity over IGAD Region of Eastern Africa
The eight countries under the Intergovernmental Authority on Development (IGAD) of Eastern Africa considered countries in the African continent that are vulnerable to climate change and Extreme events(IPCC, 2018). Change and variability in extreme rainfall …
Probabilistic rainy season onset prediction over the greater horn of Africa based on long-range multi-model ensemble forecasts
This paper suggests a probabilistic framework for predicting when the rainy season will start over the Greater Horn of Africa. It uses bias-corrected, long-range, multi-model ensemble precipitation forecasts to do this.
When you look closely …
Advances, gaps and way forward in provision of climate services over the Greater Horn of Africa
The Greater Horn of Africa is prone to extreme climatic conditions, thus, making climate services increasingly important in supporting decision-making processes across a range of climate-sensitive sectors. This study aims to provide a comprehensive review …
Regional water cycle sensitivity to afforestation: synthetic numerical experiments for tropical Africa
Afforestation as a climate change mitigation option has been the subject of intense debate and study over the last few decades, particularly in the tropics, where agricultural activity is expanding.
However, the impact of such …
Evaluation of CMIP6 historical simulations over IGAD region of Eastern Africa
The Accuracy of model simulations is critical for climate change and its socio-economic impact. This study evaluated23 Global climate models participating in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 6 (CMIP6). The main objective was to …
Summary for Decision Makers, October to December 2023 Season
Download our latest Summary for Decision Makers with impacts and advisories for the following sectors:
- Disaster Risk Management
- Agriculture and Food Security
- Water and Energy
- Health and nutrition
- Livestock
How should I use seasonal forecasts? …
New Functionalities and Regional/National Use Cases of the Anomaly Hotspots of Agricultural Production (ASAP) Platform
The Anomaly Hotspots of Agricultural Production (ASAP) Decision Support System was launched operationally in 2017 to provide timely early warning information on agricultural production based on Earth observation and agro-climatic data in an open and …