Potential impacts of climate and environmental change 2 on the stored water of Lake Victoria Basin and 3 economic implications

Oct. 2, 2013
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The changing climatic patterns and increasing human population within the Lake Victoria Basin (LVB), together with overexploitation of water for economic activities call for assessment of water management for the entire basin. This study focused on the analysis of a combination of available in-situ climate data, Gravity And Climate Experiment (GRACE), Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission (TRMM) observations, and high resolution Regional Climate simulations during recent decade(s) to assess the water storage changes within LVB that may be linked to recent climatic variability/changes and anomalies. We employed trend analysis, principal component analysis (PCA), and temporal/spatial correlations to explore the associations and co-variability among LVB stored water, rainfall variability, and large scale forcings associated with El-Ni˜no/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD). Potential economic impacts of human and climate induced changes in LVB stored water are also explored.

Tags: Climate Forecasting