February - April 2023
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over most parts of the region.
- Average temperatures likely to be recorded over small areas of western Ethiopia and Tanzania.
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over parts of central to southern Tanzania.
- Average conditions expected over areas of central Tanzania, eastern Kenya, and north-eastern Somalia.
- Drier than usual conditions expected over north-western Tanzania, Burundi, Rwanda, Uganda, much of Kenya, southern parts of South Sudan, Ethiopia, and much of Somalia.