June - September 2021
Probability of 400 mm
Length of wet spells
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over the eastern and northern parts of the region
- Cooler than usual conditions expected over the western parts of the region
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over Uganda, western Kenya, South Sudan, Sudan, much of Ethiopia, Djibouti and Eritrea
- Highest probabilities of rainfall exceeding 400mm in western Ethiopia, South Sudan, northern Uganda, southern areas of Sudan.