May - July 2023
- Warmer than usual temperatures expected all over the region with highest probabilities over Sudan, Eritrea, Djibouti, western South Sudan, south-western Ethiopia, much of Kenya, and eastern Tanzania.
- Usual temperatures likely to be recorded over central to northern parts of Tanzania.
- Drier than usual conditions predicted over central to eastern Sudan, central Ethiopia, parts of northern and southern South Sudan, eastern Uganda, and parts of western Kenya.
- Usual conditions expected over much of Sudan, central South Sudan, western Ethiopia, parts of western and coastal Kenya, western Uganda, and central to southern coastal Somalia.
- Wetter than usual rainfall conditions expected over south-eastern Ethiopia, much of Somalia, and isolated parts of Sudan and South Sudan.