Weekly Forecast
At ICPAC we use the Weather Research and Forecasting Model (WRF) to produce our forecasts in a resolution of 10 x 10 Km. Our weekly forecasts are very popular and help stakeholders prepare for extreme weather, and mitigate risks associated with floods, drought or heavy rainfall.
13 - 20 January 2026
Rainfall
Temperature
Rainfall anomalies
- More than usual rainfall expected over isolated parts of central to southern Tanzania and western Burundi.
- Less than usual rainfall expected over most over parts of Tanzania, Burundi and southern Rwanda.
Exceptional rainfall
- Rainfall exceeding the 90th percentile expected over isolated areas in central and southern Tanzania.
Temperature anomalies
- Cooler than usual temperatures expected over central to northern Sudan.
- Warmer than usual temperatures expected over most parts of the GHA.
Mean temperatures
- Moderate to high temperatures (20-32℃) expected over most parts of Tanzania, Kenya, Uganda, Somalia, South Sudan and eastern and southern regions of Sudan.
- Mild temperature conditions (less than 20℃) expected over central to northern regions of Sudan, central and northern Ethiopia, northern Somalia, central to western Kenya.
Heat Stress
- Elevated heat stress levels expected in parts of eastern Tanzania, eastern Kenya and parts of South Sudan.
Total rainfall
- Moderate rainfall (50-200mm) expected over parts of central to southern Tanzania and central to southern Burundi.
- Light rainfall (less than 50 mm) expected over most parts of Rwanda, northern Burundi, southern Kenya, northern coastal areas of Somalia, parts of coastal eastern Sudan, coastal eastern Eritrea and northern and western Tanzania.
Weekly Forecasts
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Temperature forecast (Anomalies)
Temperature anomalies
- Cooler than usual temperatures expected over central to northern Sudan.
- Warmer than usual temperatures expected over most parts of the GHA.
Rainfall forecast
- Light expected over limited areas in northern regions and southern coastal areas of Somalia.
Heavy rainfall
Exceptional rainfall
- Rainfall exceeding the 90th percentile expected over isolated areas in central and southern Tanzania.
Rainfall forecast (anomalies)
Rainfall anomalies
- More than usual rainfall expected over isolated parts of central to southern Tanzania and western Burundi.
- Less than usual rainfall expected over most over parts of Tanzania, Burundi and southern Rwanda.
Heat Stress
- Elevated heat stress levels expected in parts of eastern Tanzania, eastern Kenya and parts of South Sudan.
Rainfall forecast
Total rainfall
- Moderate rainfall (50-200mm) expected over parts of central to southern Tanzania and central to southern Burundi.
- Light rainfall (less than 50 mm) expected over most parts of Rwanda, northern Burundi, southern Kenya, northern …