01 - 08 March 2023

Rainfall

Temperature

Temperature forecast (Anomalies)

Temperature anomalies 

  • Warmer than usual temperatures expected in most parts of the Greater Horn of Africa (GHA).
  • Cooler than usual temperatures expected in coastal parts of Kenya and Somalia.
Rainfall forecast (anomalies)

Rainfall anomalies

  • Drier than usual conditions expected over most parts of Tanzania.
  • Wetter than usual conditions expected over parts of southern Tanzania, Burundi, Rwanda, south-western South Sudan and western Uganda. 
Heavy rainfall

Exceptional rainfall

  • Heavy (top 10%) rainfall expected over isolated areas of southern Tanzania.
Temperature forecast

Mean temperatures

  • Hot temperatures (above 32 ℃) expected over eastern South Sudan and Gambela region of Ethiopia.
  • Moderate to hot temperatures (20 - 32 ℃) expected over most parts of southern Sudan, central to western South Sudan, Eritrea, Djibouti, Somalia, northern and eastern Kenya, Uganda and Tanzania.
  • Mild conditions (less than 20℃) expected over central to northern Ethiopia, central to western Kenya, northern Somalia, and western regions of Rwanda and Burundi.
Rainfall forecast

Total rainfall

  • Moderate rainfall (50-200mm) expected over Rwanda, Burundi, and western to southern Tanzania.
  • Light rainfall (less than 50 mm) expected over central Ethiopia, southern Uganda, central to southern South Sudan, northern and central Tanzania, and south-western Kenya.
  • Dry conditions expected over most parts of Sudan, northern and eastern South Sudan, Eritrea, Djibouti, Ethiopia, Somalia, eastern Tanzania, eastern and northern Kenya and north-eastern Uganda.