02 - 09 April 2024
Rainfall
Temperature
Exceptional rainfall
- Heavy rainfall (reaching top 10% on record) expected over eastern and western parts of Tanzania, as well as parts of south-eastern Ethiopia and north-eastern Uganda.
- Heavy rainfall (reaching top 10% on record) expected over eastern and western parts of Tanzania, and parts of south-eastern Ethiopia.
Floods Update
- Very heavy rainfall is likely to lead to flooding in parts of Kenya, southern and parts of central to northern Ethiopia, and northern Tanzania.
Rainfall anomalies
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over most parts of the equatorial and southern regions.
Temperature anomalies
- Warmer than usual temperatures predicted over most parts of the region.
- Cooler than usual temperatures forecast over central to eastern parts of South Sudan and isolated areas in Kenya, northern Uganda and Central Ethiopia.
Mean temperatures
- High temperatures (above 32℃) expected over isolated areas in center-north and north-eastern South Sudan, isolated regions in north-eastern Ethiopia, and parts of southern Sudan.
- Moderate to high temperatures (20-32℃) expected over most parts of South Sudan, Tanzania, Uganda, Kenya, Somalia, Djibouti, Eritrea, western and eastern Ethiopia and Sudan.
- Mild temperature conditions (less than 20℃) expected over central to north-western and south-eastern Ethiopia Highlands, central Kenya, western regions of Rwanda and Burundi, and isolated areas in southern Tanzania.
Heat Stress
- Elevated levels of heat stress expected in most parts of South Sudan, north-western and eastern parts of the Greater Horn of Africa Region.
Total rainfall
- Heavy rainfall (more than 200 mm) expected over few areas in southern Tanzania and western parts of Kenya.
- Moderate rainfall (50-200mm) expected over most parts of Tanzania, Rwanda, Burundi, Uganda, Kenya, southern to central South Sudan, and central to south-western Ethiopia.
- Light rainfall (less than 50 mm) expected in central to northern South Sudan, southern Sudan, Lake Victoria Basin, isolated areas of northern Kenya, central Somalia, and eastern parts of Ethiopia.
- Dry conditions expected over Sudan, north-western and south-eastern Ethiopia, central to northern Somalia and most parts of Eritrea.
