03-10 December 2025

Rainfall

Temperature

Rainfall forecast (anomalies)

Rainfall anomalies

  • More than usual rainfall expected over parts of eastern Kenya and southern Somalia. 
  • Less than usual rainfall expected over most parts of Tanzania, Rwanda, Uganda and southern regions of Kenya and Uganda. 
Temperature forecast (Anomalies)

Temperature anomalies

  • Warmer than usual temperatures expected over most parts of the GHA.  
  • Cooler than usual temperatures expected over parts of north-eastern Kenya and coastal regions of Somalia and other isolated areas in Ethiopia and Tanzania. 
Heavy rainfall
  • Rainfall exceeding the 90th percentile expected over most parts of north-eastern Kenya. 
Temperature forecast

Mean temperatures

  • Moderate to high temperatures (20-32℃) expected over most parts of the GHA.  
  • Mild temperature conditions (less than 20℃) expected over western regions of Burundi and Rwanda, south-western Uganda, central to western Kenya, central to northern Ethiopia and parts of northern Somalia.   
Heat Stress

Heat Stress

  • Elevated heat stress levels expected in eastern Tanzania, eastern Kenya and southern Somalia, and most parts of South Sudan. 
Rainfall forecast

Total rainfall

  • Moderate rainfall (50-200mm) expected over central to western regions of Burundi, Rwanda and Tanzania, central to eastern Kenya and southern Somalia. 
  • Light rainfall (less than 50 mm) expected over most parts of Kenya, coastal and northern Tanzania, western Uganda and parts of southern regions of South Sudan and Ethiopia.