05 - 12 November 2025
Rainfall
Temperature
Rainfall anomalies
- More than usual rainfall expected over central to southern regions of South Sudan, south-western Ethiopia, western and northern Tanzania western Rwanda and eastern Burundi.
- Less than usual rainfall expected over central Kenya, parts of eastern Uganda, northern and southern Tanzania and central to southern Somalia.
Temperature anomalies
- Warmer than usual temperatures expected over most parts of the region.
- Cooler than usual temperatures expected over a few regions south-western Ethiopia, coastal areas of Somalia and isolated areas over the region.
- Rainfall exceeding the 90th percentile expected over northern Somalia, parts of Rwanda, southern Ethiopia and parts of Uganda.
Mean temperatures
- Moderate to high temperatures (20-32℃) expected over Sudan, South Sudan, Uganda, Tanzania, eastern and northern Kenya, Somalia, Djibouti, Eritrea, eastern Ethiopia and eastern parts of both Rwanda and Uganda.
- Mild temperature conditions (less than 20℃) expected over central Ethiopia, central to south-western Kenya, and parts of western regions of both Burundi, and Rwanda.
Heat Stress
- Elevated heat stress levels expected expected in parts of South Sudan and coastal Somalia.
Total rainfall
- Moderate rainfall (50-200mm) expected in Rwanda, Burundi, western Tanzania, south-western and central Uganda, parts of central and western Kenya, parts of southern South Sudan and southern Ethiopia.
- Light rainfall (less than 50 mm) expected in parts of eastern Tanzania, most parts of eastern and northern Kenya, central to southern Somalia, south-eastern Ethiopia, and southern South Sudan.
