07 - 14 March 2023

Rainfall

Temperature

Temperature forecast (Anomalies)

Temperature anomalies 

  • Warmer than usual temperatures are expected in most parts of the Greater Horn of Africa.
Rainfall forecast (anomalies)

Rainfall anomalies

  • Drier than usual conditions expected over western and eastern parts of Tanzania.
  • Wetter than usual conditions expected over parts of northern and southern Tanzania, western Burundi, eastern Rwanda, southern South Sudan, most parts of Uganda, and central to northern Ethiopia.
Heavy rainfall

Exceptional rainfall

  • Heavy (top 10%) rainfall is expected over isolated areas of central and southern Tanzania.
Temperature forecast

Mean temperatures

  • Hot temperatures above 32 ℃ expected over central to eastern South Sudan.
  • Moderate to hot temperatures between 20 - 32 ℃ expected over most parts of Sudan, central to western South Sudan, Eritrea, Djibouti, Somalia, northern and eastern Kenya, Uganda, eastern Burundi, eastern Rwanda, and Tanzania.
  • Mild conditions (less than 20℃) expected over central to northern Ethiopia, central to western Kenya, northern Somalia, and western regions of Rwanda and Burundi.
Rainfall forecast

Total rainfall

  • Moderate rainfall (50-200 mm) is expected over Rwanda, Burundi, western to southern Tanzania, south-western Uganda, and central Ethiopia.
  • Light rainfall (less than 50 mm) is expected over central Ethiopia, southern South Sudan, Djibouti, south-eastern to north-eastern Uganda, coastal Somalia, eastern Tanzania, and isolated areas in Kenya.
  • Dry conditions expected over most parts of Sudan, northern South Sudan, Eritrea, central to northern Somalia, eastern and northern Kenya, and eastern Uganda.