10 - 17 July 2024



Heavy rainfall

Exceptional rainfall

  • Rainfall amounts exceeding the top 10% on record expected over southern Sudan, northern South Sudan, northern Ethiopia and parts of western Eritrea.
  • Rainfall amounts exceeding the top 5% on record expected over cross boarder areas of   Sudan, and  South Sudan, and northern Ethiopia.
Floods update

Floods Update

  • The expected very heavy rainfall over few places in southern Sudan, northern South Sudan, northern Ethiopia and parts of western Eritrea is likely to lead to flooding.
  • Communities in the areas at risk are advised to exercise caution during this period.
Rainfall forecast (anomalies)

Rainfall anomalies

  • More than usual rainfall expected over parts of Southern Sudan, northern and southern South Sudan, northern Uganda, western Kenya, and western and north-eastern Ethiopia.  
  • Less than usual rainfall expected over a few places in central South Sudan, central Ethiopia and parts of coastal regions of Eritrea and Sudan. 
Temperature forecast (Anomalies)

Temperature anomalies

  • Warmer than usual temperatures expected over most parts of the GHA. 
Temperature forecast

Mean temperatures

  • High temperatures (above 32℃) expected over most parts of central to northern Sudan, north-eastern Ethiopia, Djibouti, and parts Eritrea and northern western Somalia.   
  • Moderate to high temperatures (20-32℃) expected over most parts of South Sudan, southern Sudan, Somalia, Uganda, eastern and northern Kenya, south-eastern Ethiopia, and eastern and north-western Tanzania. 
  • Mild temperature conditions (less than 20℃) expected over Rwanda, Burundi, parts of central to southern Tanzania, central to south-western Kenya and central to southern Ethiopia.  
Heat Stress

Heat Stress

  • Elevated levels of heat stress expected in central to northern Sudan, Djibouti, and coastal regions of Sudan, Eritrea and north-western Somalia. 
Rainfall forecast

Total rainfall

  • Heavy rainfall (above 200mm) expected over southwestern Sudan,  cross-border areas of Sudan, and South Sudan and north-western Ethiopia. 
  • Moderate rainfall (50-200mm) expected over most parts of South Sudan, central to northern Ethiopia, central to southern Sudan, central to northern Uganda, and western Kenya. 
  • Light rainfall (less than 50 mm) expected in central Sudan, southern Ethiopia, north-western Somalia, Djibouti, coastal Eritrea, and eastern Tanzania.