12 - 19 July 2022
Rainfall
Temperature
Temperature anomalies
- Warmer than average temperatures expected over parts of northern Sudan, South Sudan, western Ethiopia, western Kenya, and most parts of Uganda, Rwanda, Burundi, and Tanzania.
- Colder than average temperatures predicted in central Sudan and eastern horn parts of the region (eastern Ethiopia, Eritrea, Djibouti, and northern Somalia).
Rainfall anomalies
- Wetter than average conditions expected over eastern and western regions of Sudan, north-western Eritrea, eastern Ethiopia, Djibouti, and north-western Somalia.
- Drier than average conditions predicted over parts of western Ethiopia, north-western South Sudan, localized areas of south-eastern and south-western Sudan, central to northern Uganda, and western Kenya.
Exceptional rainfall
- Extremely heavy (top 1%) rainfall expected over parts of western Sudan, north-western Eritrea, Djibouti, and few areas in Afar region of Ethiopia.
- Heavy to very heavy (top 10-5%) rainfall expected over parts of southern and eastern Sudan, north-western Eritrean, eastern Ethiopia, Djibouti, and northern Somalia.
Mean temperatures
- Hot conditions (above 32 ℃) expected over northern Sudan, north-eastern Afar in Ethiopia, and coastal Eritrea.
- Moderate temperatures (20 - 32 ℃) expected over most parts of Sudan, South Sudan, southern and north-western Eritrea, Djibouti, Somalia, parts of south-eastern and north-eastern Ethiopia, northern and eastern Kenya, northern Uganda, and parts of south-eastern and north-western Tanzania.
- Cold conditions (less than 20℃) expected in central Ethiopia, southern Uganda, western Kenya, Rwanda, Burundi, and central parts of Tanzania.
Total rainfall
- Heavy rainfall (above 200mm) predicted over parts of western Sudan, north-western Eritrea, and central Ethiopia.
- Moderate rainfall (50-200mm) expected over southern Sudan, southern to northern South Sudan, central, eastern and northern Ethiopia, north-western Eritrea, Djibouti, and north-western Somalia.
- Light rainfall (less than 50 mm) expected over parts of eastern and southern Tanzania, coastal and central Kenya, northern Uganda, southern and northern Somalia, coastal parts of Eritrea, central to northern Sudan, and southern Ethiopia.
- Dry conditions expected over central to western Tanzania, Rwanda, Burundi, southern Uganda, northern and eastern Kenya, central Somalia, and southern Ethiopia.
