13 - 20 February 2024
Rainfall
Temperature
![Heavy rainfall](/media/images/Prec30mmMaskExtreme_VNd8CNn.height-600.width-600.png)
Exceptional rainfall
- Heavy rainfall (exceeding 90th percentile) expected over parts of Burundi and central to southern Tanzania.
![Floods update](/media/images/Disaster_Update_Flash-Flood__KEqHqW.height-600.width-600.png)
The moderate to heavy rainfall expected in central to southern regions of Tanzania is likely to cause flash floods in the flood-prone areas.
![Rainfall forecast (anomalies)](/media/images/PrecipAnomaly_20240213.height-600.width-600.png)
Rainfall anomalies
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over most parts of Rwanda, Burundi, Tanzania, and central to southern Uganda.
- Drier than usual conditions expected in a few regions in western and southern Tanzania.
![Temperature forecast (Anomalies)](/media/images/TavgAnomaly_20240213.height-600.width-600.png)
Temperature anomalies
- Warmer than usual temperatures predicted over most parts of the GHA.
- Cooler than usual temperatures predicted in parts of northern Sudan and other isolated regions across the GHA.
![Temperature forecast](/media/images/Tavg_s96Y2Db.height-600.width-600.png)
Mean temperatures
- Moderate to high temperatures (20-32℃) expected over most parts of Tanzania and Kenya, Uganda, South Sudan, southern Sudan, western and eastern Ethiopia, Eritrea, Djibouti, and Somalia.
- Mild temperature conditions (less than 20℃) expected over parts of northern Sudan, central Ethiopia, central to western Kenya, and other isolated parts across the region.
![Heat Stress](/media/images/ghaHeatStress20240213.height-600.width-600.png)
Heat Stress
- Elevated levels of heat stress expected in eastern Tanzania, eastern Kenya, southern Somalia, and most parts of South Sudan.
![Rainfall forecast](/media/images/Prec_Rzm9raX.height-600.width-600.png)
Total rainfall
- Moderate rainfall (50-200mm) expected over most parts of Rwanda, Burundi, and Tanzania.
- Light rainfall (less than 50 mm) expected in Uganda, southern South Sudan, central Ethiopia, western, and coastal Kenya.
- Dry conditions expected over most parts of Sudan, northern South Sudan, Eritrea, Djibouti, Somalia, and northern and eastern Kenya.