13 - 20 June 2023

Rainfall anomalies

Wetter than usual conditions expected over central to western Sudan, isolated areas of north-western South Sudan, western parts of Ethiopia, and cross border regions of coastal Kenya and Somalia.
Drier than usual conditions expected over most parts of Uganda, western Kenya, much of South Sudan, and parts of central to western Ethiopia.

Temperature anomalies

Warmer than usual temperatures predicted over most parts of the Greater Horn of Africa (GHA).
Cooler than usual temperatures expected in parts of Darfur in Sudan, and other isolated areas across Ethiopia, Kenya, and Somalia.

Exceptional rainfall

Heavy to very heavy rainfall (top 10%-5%) expected in a few places in cross border areas of Sudan-Ethiopia-Eritrea and South Sudan and Ethiopia.

Mean temperatures

Hot temperatures (above than 32 ℃) expected over central to northern Sudan, Afar region in Ethiopia, Djibouti, and coastal regions of Eritrea and north-western Somalia.
Moderate to high temperatures (20 - 32℃) expected over South Sudan, eastern and northern Kenya, western and eastern Tanzania, Somalia, south-eastern Ethiopia, and central to northern Uganda.
Mild conditions (less than 20℃) expected over central Ethiopia, southern Uganda, Rwanda, Burundi, parts of southern, central to northern Tanzania, and central to western Kenya.

Total rainfall

Moderate rainfall (50-200mm) expected over isolated parts of southern Sudan, most parts of South Sudan, western Ethiopia, western Eritrea, northern Uganda, and a few places in western Kenya.
Light rainfall (less than 50 mm) expected over southern to central Sudan, isolated areas in south-eastern South Sudan, central parts of Ethiopia, northern and southern Somalia, eastern and southern Tanzania, coastal and western Kenya, and central to southern Uganda.
Dry conditions expected over northern Sudan, coastal Eritrea, north-eastern and south-eastern Ethiopia, Djibouti, northern and eastern Kenya, Burundi, Rwanda, and western and southern Tanzania.