14 - 21 January 2025
Rainfall
Temperature
Exceptional rainfall
- Rainfall amounts exceeding the top 10% on record expected over a few cross-border areas of Kenya and Tanzania.
- The expected very heavy rainfall over a few cross-border areas of Kenya and Tanzania is likely to lead to isolated flood incidences.
- Communities in high-risk areas are advised to exercise caution during this period.
Rainfall anomalies
- More than usual rainfall expected in parts of southern Kenya, northern Tanzania and parts of western and eastern Burundi.
- Less than usual rainfall expected over southern and western regions of Tanzania.
Temperature anomalies
- Warmer than usual temperatures expected over most parts of the GHA.
- Cooler than usual temperatures expected over coastal parts of Kenya and some isolated areas.
Mean temperatures
- Moderate to high temperatures (20-32℃) expected over most parts of South Sudan, Uganda, Tanzania, Kenya, Somalia, Djibouti, Eritrea, southern and north-eastern Ethiopia and southern Sudan.
- Mild temperature conditions (less than 20℃) expected over central to northern Sudan, central Ethiopia, and parts of northern Somalia, central to western Kenya and western regions of Rwanda and Burundi.
Heat Stress
- Cautionary heat stress levels are expected in regions of eastern South Sudan, eastern Tanzania, eastern Kenya, and southern Somalia.
Total rainfall
- Moderate rainfall (50-200mm) expected over most parts of southern Kenya, central to western Tanzania, and most parts of Burundi.
- Light rainfall (less than 50 mm) expected over most parts of Rwanda, northern Burundi, south-eastern and western Kenya, south-eastern Uganda, eastern Tanzania, and regions along the Red Sea coast.
