23 - 30 June 2026
Rainfall
Temperature
Rainfall anomalies
- More than usual rainfall expected over northern and south-western parts of South Sudan, parts of central to western and northern Ethiopia and isolated areas of both northern Uganda and central to western regions of Kenya.
- Less than usual rainfall expected over southern regions of Sudan, western Eritrea, central to southern Uganda, western regions of Kenya, and along the central to northern highlands of Ethiopia.
Exceptional rainfall
- Rainfall exceeding the 90th percentile expected over most parts of northern South Sudan, isolated areas in central and southern South Sudan, western Eritrea, western to northern parts of Ethiopia and isolated areas of southern and eastern Sudan.
Floods update
- Most parts of northern South Sudan, isolated areas in central and southern South Sudan, western Eritrea, western to northern parts of Ethiopia and some pockets of southern and eastern Sudan are likely to experience flooding incidences in the coming week. During this period, communities in high-risk areas are encouraged to be cautious.
Temperature anomalies
- Warmer than usual temperatures expected over most parts of the GHA.
- Cooler than usual temperatures expected over a few isolated regions across the GHA.
Mean temperatures
- Elevated temperatures expected over central to eastern parts of Sudan, coastal parts of Eritrea, Djibouti, northern coastal Somalia and north-eastern parts of Ethiopia.
- Moderate to high temperatures (20-32℃) expected over most parts of the GHA.
- Mild temperature conditions (less than 20℃) expected over Rwanda, Burundi, central to western regions of Kenya, south-western Uganda, central to southern Tanzania and central to northern Ethiopia.
Heat Stress
- Elevated heat stress within the ‘Extreme Caution’ category expected over most parts of South Sudan, Sudan, Eritrea, Djibouti, central to northern Somalia and north-eastern regions of Ethiopia.
Total rainfall
- Moderate rainfall (50-200 mm) expected over parts of southern Sudan, most parts of South Sudan, northern parts of Uganda, central to western regions of Kenya, central to western and northern parts of Ethiopia and north-western Eritrea.
- Light rainfall (less than 50 mm) expected over eastern and southern Tanzania, southern Kenya, coastal regions of Somalia, central regions of Sudan, and some parts of southern Ethiopia.
