24 June - 01 July 2025

Rainfall

Temperature

Rainfall forecast (anomalies)

Rainfall anomalies

  • More than usual rainfall expected over L. Victoria Basin in Kenya, northern Uganda, several places in central and western South Sudan, western Ethiopia, and part of North Darfur. 
  • Less than usual rainfall expected over southern Sudan, western Eritrea, central to northern Ethiopia, parts of central and eastern South Sudan, and parts of Uganda. 
Temperature forecast (Anomalies)

Temperature anomalies

  • Warmer than usual temperatures expected over most parts of the GHA. 
Heavy rainfall
  • Rainfall exceeding the 90th percentile (the highest 10% on record)expected over western Ethiopia and isolated areas in South Sudan, Sudan and western Eritrea.
Floods update
  • There is a likelihood of Flooding incidences over the flood prone areas in pockets of western Ethiopia.
Temperature forecast

Mean temperatures

  • High temperatures (> 32℃) expected in parts of central to eastern Sudan, Afar region in Ethiopia, Djibouti, northern coastal Somalia, and northern coastal and southern regions of Eritrea. 
  • Moderate to high temperatures (20-32℃) expected over most parts Sudan, South Sudan, central to northern Uganda, north-western and eastern Tanzania, eastern and northern Kenya, south-eastern Ethiopia, and most parts of Somalia.   
  • Mild temperature conditions (less than 20℃) expected over Rwanda, Burundi, southern Uganda, central to southern Tanzania, central to south-western Kenya, and central to western Ethiopia. 
Heat Stress

Heat Stress

  • Elevated heat stress levels expected in parts of south-eastern Sudan,  northern South Sudan, Afar region in Ethiopia,  Djibouti, coastal Eritrea, and parts of north-western coast of Somalia. 
Rainfall forecast

Total rainfall

  • Moderate rainfall (50-200mm) expected in western Ethiopia, South Sudan, southern areas of Sudan, northern Uganda, and around the Lake Victoria Basin in Kenya.  
  • Light rainfall (less than 50 mm) expected over central to southern parts of Uganda, coastal and central to western Kenya, southern coastal Somalia, central Ethiopia, south-eastern South Sudan, central Sudan, and western Eritrea.