27 November - 04 December 2024
Rainfall
Temperature
Exceptional rainfall
- Rainfall amounts exceeding the top 5% on record expected over central to northern Kenya, central Rwanda, eastern Burundi, and parts of north-eastern and southern Tanzania.
- Rainfall amounts exceeding the top 10% on record expected over most parts of Kenya, Rwanda, Burundi and Tanzania.
Flood
- The expected very heavy rainfall is likely to lead to isolated flood incidences over a few places, in parts of Rwanda, Burundi, and parts of southern, central to northern Kenya and central to southern Tanzania.
- Communities in high-risk areas are advised to exercise caution during this period.
Rainfall anomalies
- More than usual rainfall expected most parts of Uganda, Kenya, Tanzania, Rwanda, Burundi and southern Ethiopia.
- Less than usual rainfall expected over few regions in northern and western Tanzania.
Temperature anomalies
- Warmer than usual temperatures expected over most parts of the Ethiopia, Eritrea, Djibouti, Rwanda, Burundi, Tanzania, central and northern Somalia, central to western Kenya and southern Uganda.
- Cooler than usual temperatures expected over most parts of Sudan, South Sudan, as well as parts of eastern kenya and northern Uganda.
Mean temperatures
- Moderate to high temperatures (20-32℃) expected over most parts of South Sudan, Uganda, Tanzania, Kenya, Somalia, Djibouti, Eritrea, and southern and eastern regions of Sudan.
- Mild temperature conditions (less than 20℃) expected over parts north-western Sudan, central to southern Ethiopia, central to western Kenya and most parts of Rwanda and Burundi.
Heat Stress
- Cautionary heat stress levels expected in regions of eastern Kenya, coastal and southern Tanzania, and southern Somalia.
Total rainfall
- Moderate rainfall (50-200mm) expected over most parts of Tanzania, Burundi, Rwanda, central to western and northern Kenya, southern Ethiopia, southern Somalia and north-eastern and southern Uganda.
- Light rainfall (less than 50 mm) expected over parts of central and southern Ethiopia, northern Somalia, north-western Kenya, western Uganda, southern South Sudan and coastal regions of the Red Sea.
