27 Oct - 03 Nov 2020

Rainfall

Temperature

Heavy rainfall

Advisory: Considering the rainfall events during the past week over some areas in Somalia and the expected heavy to exceptionally-heavy rainfall over the country during this week, all the stakeholders are advised to take the appropriate measures.

  • Exceptionally heavy rainfall (within the top 1% on record of weekly rainfall) is expected over limited areas in eastern and central Somalia.
  • Heavy to very heavy rainfall (within the top 10% - 5% on record of weekly rainfall) is expected in parts of central to northern Somalia, eastern Ethiopia, and limited areas in central Kenya.
Temperature forecast
  • Warmer daily-mean temperatures above 28oC is expected in southern Sudan, Afar region of Ethiopia, and northern Kenya.
  • Moderate daily-mean temperatures between 20-28oC is expected in wider part of Sudan and South Sudan; eastern part of Ethiopia, Kenya and Somalia; southern and central Tanzanian, and Uganda.
  • Relatively cold daily-mean temperatures below 20oC is expected in central Ethiopian highlands, western Kenya, southern Uganda, Rwanda, and Burundi.
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)

The onset of the season is expected to start during this week.

  • Heavy rainfall above 200 mm is expected in the eastern coast of Somalia and localized areas in western Kenya. 
  • Moderate rainfall between 50-200 mm is expected in parts of western and south-western Ethiopia, southern part of South Sudan, northern and central Somalia, western Kenya, most parts of Uganda, Burundi, Rwanda, and northern Tanzania. 
  • Light rainfall less than 50 mm is expected in northern parts of South Sudan, north-western and southern Ethiopia, southern Somalia, central and eastern Kenya, and central and southern Tanzania. 
  • Dry conditions are expected in much of Sudan, Eritrea, central and north-eastern Ethiopia, Djibouti, and north-western Somalia.