31 January - 07 February 2023

Rainfall

Temperature

Temperature forecast (Anomalies)

Temperature anomalies 

  • Warmer than usual temperatures expected in most parts of the Greater Horn of Africa (GHA).
  • Cooler than usual temperatures expected in central to northern Sudan, a few areas in southern Tanzania and south-eastern Kenya, and other isolated regions within the GHA.
Rainfall forecast (anomalies)

Rainfall anomalies

  • Wetter than usual conditions expected in most parts of Burundi and eastern and southern Tanzania.
  • Drier than usual conditions expected over parts of central, northern, and south-western Tanzania.
Temperature forecast

Mean temperatures

  • Moderate temperatures (20 - 32 ℃) expected over most parts of South Sudan, Uganda, Tanzania, Kenya, Djibouti, and Eritrea.
  • Cold conditions (less than 20℃) expected over central to northern Sudan, parts of central and eastern Ethiopia into northern Somalia, central to western Kenya, and a few areas in Burundi, Rwanda, and southern Tanzania.
Rainfall forecast

Total rainfall

  • Moderate rainfall (50-200mm) expected over Burundi and most parts of Tanzania.
  • Light rainfall (less than 50 mm) expected over Rwanda, southern Uganda, south-western Kenya, and coastal regions of Kenya, Somalia, Eritrea, and Sudan.
  • Dry conditions expected over most parts of Sudan, South Sudan, Ethiopia, Eritrea, Djibouti, Somalia, northern and eastern Kenya, and northern Uganda.