Weekly Forecast
At ICPAC we use the Weather Research and Forecasting Model (WRF) to produce our forecasts in a resolution of 10 x 10 Km. Our weekly forecasts are very popular and help stakeholders prepare for extreme weather, and mitigate risks associated with floods, drought or heavy rainfall.
15 - 22 October 2025
Rainfall
Temperature
Rainfall anomalies
- More than usual rainfall expected over central to northern regions of South Sudan, southern Ethiopia, central Somalia and parts of western Kenya, central and northern Uganda.
- Less than usual rainfall expected over most parts of eastern Kenya, western and eastern Tanzania, south-eastern South Sudan, and north-western Somalia.
Temperature anomalies
- Warmer than usual temperatures expected over most parts of the GHA.
- Cooler than average temperatures expected over south-eastern Ethiopia and other isolated areas across the GHA.
- Rainfall exceeding the 95th percentile (the highest 5% on record) expected over cross-border regions of south-eastern Ethiopia, central Somalia and parts of north-eastern Kenya.
- There is a likelihood of Flooding incidences over the flood prone areas in south-eastern and central-southern Ethiopia and central Somalia.
Mean temperatures
- High temperatures (>32℃) expected in Afar region of Ethiopia.
- Moderate to high temperatures (20-32℃) expected over most parts of Sudan, South Sudan, Uganda, Tanzania, Kenya, Somalia, Djibouti, Eritrea and eastern Ethiopia.
- Mild temperature conditions (less than 20℃) expected over central Ethiopia, central to south-western Kenya, and parts of western regions of Burundi, Rwanda, and Uganda.
Heat Stress
- Elevated heat stress levels expected in northern regions of South Sudan, eastern Sudan and Afar region in Ethiopia.
Total rainfall
- Moderate rainfall (50-200mm) expected in most parts of Rwanda, Uganda, South Sudan, southern Ethiopia, central Somalia and parts of western Kenya.
- Light rainfall (less than 50 mm) expected in parts of eastern and western Tanzania, southern and eastern Kenya, northern Somalia, south-eastern South Sudan and southern regions of Sudan.
Weekly Forecasts
Filter by Product Type
Filter by Region
Filter by Year
Filter by Month
Showing 2205 results
Rainfall forecast (anomalies)
Rainfall anomalies
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over western and northern parts of Ethiopia, western Eritrea, much of South Sudan, eastern and southern parts of Sudan, northern Uganda, and western Kenya.
- Drier than usual conditions …
Temperature forecast
Mean temperatures
- Hot temperatures (above 32 ℃) expected over central to northern Sudan, Afar region in Ethiopia, Djibouti, coastal regions of Eritrea, and north-western coastal parts of Somalia.
- Moderate to high temperatures (20-32℃) expected over …
Heavy rainfall
- Heavy to very heavy rainfall (top 10%-5%) expected in northern and isolated areas in central parts of South Sudan.
Temperature forecast
- Hot temperatures (above 32℃) expected over isolated areas in north-western coastal parts of Somalia.
- Moderate temperatures (20 - 32 ℃) expected in most parts of the country.
Temperature forecast
Mean temperatures
- Hot temperatures (above 32 ℃) expected over central to northern Sudan, Afar region in Ethiopia, Djibouti, coastal regions of Eritrea, and north-western coastal parts of Somalia.
- Moderate to high temperatures (20 - 32℃) …
Rainfall forecast
Total rainfall
- Heavy rainfall (greater than 200) expected over isolated parts of western Ethiopia, northern South Sudan, and southern Sudan.
- Moderate rainfall (50-200mm) expected over southern Sudan, much of South Sudan, isolated areas in western …