Weekly Forecast

At ICPAC we use the Weather Research and Forecasting Model (WRF) to produce our forecasts in a resolution of 10 x 10 Km. Our weekly forecasts are very popular and help stakeholders prepare for extreme weather, and mitigate risks associated with floods, drought or heavy rainfall.

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04 - 11 February 2025

Rainfall

Temperature

Heavy rainfall

Exceptional rainfall

  • Rainfall amounts exceeding the top 10% on record expected over a few parts of central to southern regions of Tanzania. 
Floods update
  • The expected very heavy rainfall over a few parts of central to southern regions of Tanzania is likely to lead to isolated flood incidences.
  • Communities in high-risk areas are advised to exercise caution during this period.
Rainfall forecast (anomalies)

Rainfall anomalies

  • More than usual rainfall expected over central to south-eastern parts of Tanzania. 
  • Less than usual rainfall expected over western regions of Tanzania. 
Temperature forecast (Anomalies)

Temperature anomalies

  • Warmer than usual temperatures expected over most parts of the GHA.  
  • Cooler than usual temperatures expected over parts of south-eastern Kenya, and other isolated areas across the GHA. 
Temperature forecast

Mean temperatures

  • Moderate to high temperatures (20-32℃) expected over most parts of South Sudan, Uganda, Tanzania, Kenya, Somalia, Djibouti, Eritrea, central to southern Sudan and eastern regions of both Rwanda and Burundi.
  • Mild temperature conditions (less than 20℃) expected over northern Sudan, Ethiopian highlands, northern Somalia, and parts of central to western Kenya. 
Heat Stress

Heat Stress

  • Extreme Cautionary Heat Stress levels  expected in South Sudan, southern Sudan and eastern regions of Tanzania and Kenya, and southern Somalia.
Rainfall forecast

Total rainfall

  • Moderate rainfall (50-200mm) expected over most parts of Burundi and central to southern regions of Tanzania. 
  • Light rainfall (less than 50 mm) expected over northern regions of Tanzania and most parts of Rwanda. 

Weekly Forecasts

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Heat Stress
Heat Stress

Heat Stress

  • Extreme Cautionary Heat Stress levels  expected in South Sudan, southern Sudan and eastern regions of Tanzania and Kenya, and southern Somalia.
4 - 11 February 2025 Read More
Rainfall forecast
Rainfall forecast
  • Light rainfall expected over a few isolated areas along the coastal regions of Somalia.
4 - 11 February 2025 Read More
Temperature forecast (Anomalies)
Temperature forecast (Anomalies)

Temperature anomalies

  • Warmer than usual temperatures expected over most parts of the GHA.  
  • Cooler than usual temperatures expected over parts of south-eastern Kenya, and other isolated areas across the GHA. 
4 - 11 February 2025 Read More
Rainfall forecast (anomalies)
Rainfall forecast (anomalies)

Rainfall anomalies

  • More than usual rainfall expected over central to south-eastern parts of Tanzania. 
  • Less than usual rainfall expected over western regions of Tanzania. 
4 - 11 February 2025 Read More
Heavy rainfall
Heavy rainfall

Exceptional rainfall

  • Rainfall amounts exceeding the top 10% on record expected over a few parts of central to southern regions of Tanzania. 
4 - 11 February 2025 Read More
Rainfall forecast
Rainfall forecast

Total rainfall

  • Moderate rainfall (50-200mm) expected over most parts of Burundi and central to southern regions of Tanzania. 
  • Light rainfall (less than 50 mm) expected over northern regions of Tanzania and most parts of Rwanda. 
4 - 11 February 2025 Read More