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Wetter-Than-Normal Conditions Expected Across Much of the Greater Horn of Africa

Nairobi, Kenya, 27 January 2026: The IGAD Climate Prediction and Applications Centre (ICPAC) in collaboration with member states’ National Meteorological and Hydrological Services (NMHSs), the World Meteorological Organisation (WMO), and partners, has released the regional climate outlook for the March to May (MAM) 2026 rainfall season, following the 72nd Greater Horn of Africa Climate Outlook Forum (GHACOF 72) held in Nairobi, Kenya from 26–27 January 2026.
Key Highlights of the MAM 2026 Climate Outlook
Rainfall Outlook
- The outlook indicates a 45% probability of wetter-than-normal rainfall conditions over much of the Greater Horn of Africa, including most parts of Uganda, Rwanda, …
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Recurring Floods in Eastern Africa amidst Projections of Frequent and Extreme Climatic Events for the Region

The ‘long rainy season’ in the equatorial region of Eastern Africa is generally observed within the months of March …
ICPAC, key partner in international project to tackle climate change resilience in the Horn of Africa

Led by scientists at Cardiff University with substantial contributions from 14 other partners in 7 countries, the EU project, called DOWN2EARTH, will employ state-of-the-art seasonal forecasts and decadal projections of climate change …
IGAD Calls for Increased Regional Collaboration to Fight Desert Locust
Nairobi / Djibouti, 22nd May 2020: Ministers responsible for Agriculture and Livestock of the Member States of the Intergovernmental Authority on Development (IGAD), including representation from Saudi Arabia and Yemen, held a virtual ministerial meeting …
Wet season expected across Eastern Africa (June to September 2020)

Nairobi, 18 May, 2020: June to September is an important season for Sudan, South Sudan, Ethiopia, Eritrea, Djibouti, and Uganda. A wetter than usual season is forecasted for western and central Sudan, southwestern Ethiopia, southeastern …
Rethinking Public Health in Eastern Africa in light of the COVID-19 Pandemic? Part 2
Lead Author: Dr Esther Onyango, Environmental Futures Research Institute at Griffith University Australia
Contributions by ICPAC Climate Change Technical Working Group

Current health systems are neither built to meet the impacts …
Desert Locust Prediction 16-30 May
Areas with agro-pastoral farming have the highest risk of locust invading crops. Risk of invasion to crop areas is still high due to winds movement in Ethiopia, Eritrea and Sudan.

- Rainfall is in higher than …