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Wetter-Than-Normal Conditions Expected Across Much of the Greater Horn of Africa

Nairobi, Kenya, 27 January 2026: The IGAD Climate Prediction and Applications Centre (ICPAC) in collaboration with member states’ National Meteorological and Hydrological Services (NMHSs), the World Meteorological Organisation (WMO), and partners, has released the regional climate outlook for the March to May (MAM) 2026 rainfall season, following the 72nd Greater Horn of Africa Climate Outlook Forum (GHACOF 72) held in Nairobi, Kenya from 26–27 January 2026.
Key Highlights of the MAM 2026 Climate Outlook
Rainfall Outlook
- The outlook indicates a 45% probability of wetter-than-normal rainfall conditions over much of the Greater Horn of Africa, including most parts of Uganda, Rwanda, …
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Eastern Africa: Why the normally dry January and February are suddenly wet in 2020?
Lead Author: Eunice Koech
Contributions by ICPAC Climate Change Technical Working Group

The globe is warming and new temperature records keep being made. July 2019 was classified as the hottest July since record keeping began …
Desert Locust Prediction 5-15 March
Areas of very high risk for Desert Locust invasion are southern Somalia, northern and western Kenya, northern and central Uganda, southwestern Ethiopia and southeastern South Sudan.
Most of the region falls …
Desert Locust Prediction 25 February - 5 March
- Highly suitable climatic and ecological conditions for Desert Locust to thrive in crop areas of western Kenya, northern and central Uganda, Somalia, southern South Sudan, coastal Eritrea, northern Tanzania, central and southern Ethiopia.

- Wind speed …
Desert Locust: Upcoming cropping season at risk across East Africa
Eggs laid along migratory path expected to hatch in the coming weeks, giving ground to second round of invasion
18th February 2020, Nairobi: March to May is the main cropping season for many countries in …
Wetter and hotter than usual season expected in most of the region
Mombasa, 29 of January, 2020: The Fifty-Fourth Greater Horn of Africa Climate Outlook Forum (GHACOF54) was convened from 27 to 29 January 2020 by the IGAD Climate Prediction and Applications Centre (ICPAC) in collaboration with …
Desert Locust outbreak continues to threaten food security and livelihoods in East Africa
Nairobi, 24th of January 2020. The current Desert Locust situation poses a serious threat to food security and livelihoods. Large and numerous swarms continue to destroy crops and pastures across parts of Ethiopia, Somalia, …