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The Greater Horn of Africa is expected to experience a wetter-than-normal October – December (OND) 2026 season as El Niño strengthens
Kigali, Rwanda, 18 August 2026: The IGAD Climate Prediction and Applications Centre (ICPAC), together with the National Meteorological and Hydrological Services (NMHSs) of the Greater Horn of Africa and partners, has released the regional climate outlook for the October–December (OND) 2026 season, indicating an increased likelihood of wetter-than-normal conditions over the region.
The OND season is a critical rainfall period for the equatorial and southern parts of the Greater Horn of Africa, contributing up to 70% of total annual rainfall in parts of Ethiopia, Kenya and Somalia and up to 40% of total annual rainfall in parts of Rwanda, …
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Desert Locust Prediction 25 February - 5 March
- Highly suitable climatic and ecological conditions for Desert Locust to thrive in crop areas of western Kenya, northern and central Uganda, Somalia, southern South Sudan, coastal Eritrea, northern Tanzania, central and southern Ethiopia.
- Wind speed …
Desert Locust: Upcoming cropping season at risk across East Africa
Eggs laid along migratory path expected to hatch in the coming weeks, giving ground to second round of invasion
18th February 2020, Nairobi: March to May is the main cropping season for many countries in …
Wetter and hotter than usual season expected in most of the region
Mombasa, 29 of January, 2020: The Fifty-Fourth Greater Horn of Africa Climate Outlook Forum (GHACOF54) was convened from 27 to 29 January 2020 by the IGAD Climate Prediction and Applications Centre (ICPAC) in collaboration with …
Desert Locust outbreak continues to threaten food security and livelihoods in East Africa
Nairobi, 24th of January 2020. The current Desert Locust situation poses a serious threat to food security and livelihoods. Large and numerous swarms continue to destroy crops and pastures across parts of Ethiopia, Somalia, …
October to December 2019 Extreme Floods in Eastern Africa, Climate Variability or Change?
By Dr Linda Ogallo
Contributions by ICPAC Climate Change Technical Working Group
Many parts of the tropical Eastern Africa have two distinct rainfall seasons, centred around March-May (MAM) and October-December (OND) months. The March-May and …
Improved seasonal forecast for Eastern Africa
A big change has taken place “back stage” in the way the IGAD Climate Prediction and Applications Centre (ICPAC) makes its seasonal forecasts since May 2019. The change improves the quality and usefulness of the …