01-10 May 2020

Heavy rainfall above 200 mm expected over most parts of central and western Kenya, southwestern South Sudan, coastal regions of central Somalia, and northwestern regions along the Ethiopian rift.
Moderate to heavy rainfall between 50 - 200 mm expected over much of South Sudan, southeastern Ethiopia to central Somalia, northern Kenya, parts of western and northern Uganda, western Rwanda and Djibouti.
Light rainfall below 30 mm expected over Tanzania, southwestern and northeastern Somalia, Eritrea, part of central Uganda, northern Ethiopia and northern SouthSudan.
Sudan, Eastern Kenya extending to Somalia, and central Tanzania are expected to remain dry.

High daily-mean temperatures above 32 ̊C expected over South Sudan - Sudan border region, extending to eastern Sudan into western Ethiopia & Eritrea.
Regions in eastern Kenya, southern & central Somalia, central South Sudan, southeastern Ethiopia, & much of Eritrea are expected to receive temperatures between 30 & 32 ̊C.
Moderate daily-mean temperatures between 20 - 30 ̊C expected over Uganda, northern & southern Tanzania, eastern Rwanda, parts of southern & western Kenya, parts of central Ethiopia, parts of northeastern Somalia, Djibouti & northern Sudan.
Low daily-mean temperatures below 20 ̊C expected over western Rwanda, Burundi, central Kenya, southwestern Tanzania & parts of central Ethiopia.

Forecast (1-10 May 2020)

Heavy rainfall above 200 mm expected in western and northwestern Kenya and along the Ethiopian rift.
Thermal discomfort is expected in south and southeastern Sudan extending into northwestern Ethiopia and northern south Sudan.

Observed rainfall (11-20 April 2020)

Severely dry everywhere in Djibouti, northeastern Uganda, most parts of Kenya, much of Somalia, western and costal parts of Tanzania
Unusual high daytime temperature anomalies were southern Tanzania, everywhere in Rwanda and Burundi, southwestern Uganda, central and northeastern Kenya, southern parts of Ethiopia.
Cooler than average minimum temperatures over Sudan and South Sudan, eastern Ethiopia and northern Somalia.