Our monthly forecast
Our monthly forecasts help our users adjust our seasonal forecast and take preventive mitigation measures. Monthly forecasts are one of our most popular products. Sign up to receive them directly to your inbox.
February 2026
Rainfall
Temperature
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over eastern Sudan, most parts of Ethiopia, central to southern Somalia, Kenya, southern South Sudan, Uganda, Rwanda, Burundi, and Tanzania.
- Near normal temperatures expected over most parts of Sudan, northern areas of South Sudan, south-eastern Ethiopia, northern Somalia, and central to northern Kenya.
- Drier than usual conditions are expected over most parts of Tanzania and Burundi.
- Near normal to above normal conditions expected over western and northern Tanzania as well as over Rwanda.
- The rest of the region is generally dry in February.
Monthly forecasts
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Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual temperatures expected over the whole country.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over the whole country.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over the whole region.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over the whole country.
Rainfall forecast
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over the southern parts of Greater Horn of Africa (GHA).
- Drier than usual conditions expected over south-eastern and north-western Tanzania.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over the whole country.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over the whole region.
- Highest probabilities for warmer than usual conditions indicated over north-eastern and south-western parts of the region.
Rainfall forecast
- Wetter than usual rainfall expected over few places in northern, central, and southern parts of the country.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over most parts of the region.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over the whole country.
Rainfall forecast
- Wetter-than-usual conditions expected over south-western Uganda, Rwanda, Burundi, Tanzania, and south-western Kenya.
- Dry conditions expected over the rest of the region, as is normal for this month.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual temperatures expected over the whole country.