Our monthly forecast
Our monthly forecasts help our users adjust our seasonal forecast and take preventive mitigation measures. Monthly forecasts are one of our most popular products. Sign up to receive them directly to your inbox.
February 2026
Rainfall
Temperature
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over eastern Sudan, most parts of Ethiopia, central to southern Somalia, Kenya, southern South Sudan, Uganda, Rwanda, Burundi, and Tanzania.
- Near normal temperatures expected over most parts of Sudan, northern areas of South Sudan, south-eastern Ethiopia, northern Somalia, and central to northern Kenya.
- Drier than usual conditions are expected over most parts of Tanzania and Burundi.
- Near normal to above normal conditions expected over western and northern Tanzania as well as over Rwanda.
- The rest of the region is generally dry in February.
Monthly forecasts
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Temperature forecast
- Warmer than normal conditions are expected over most parts of the country except over a small area in the north-eastern parts of the country.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than normal temperatures expected over central-northern regions as well as the central to southern parts of the country.
- Normal to cooler than normal conditions expected over most parts of north-eastern and north-western regions of …
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over most parts of the region.
- Cooler than normal conditions expected over few areas in Ethiopia, Kenya, and north-eastern Somalia.
Rainfall forecast
- Normal to wetter than normal conditions expected over parts of western Tanzania.
Drier than usual conditions expected over Kenya, southern parts of Uganda, and most parts of Tanzania. The forecast has no confidence on expected …
Rainfall forecast
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over central to southern and eastern Sudan, western Eritrea, Djibouti, parts of northern Somalia, most parts of Ethiopia, eastern and southern South Sudan, Uganda, Lake Victoria Basin of Kenya, and …
Rainfall forecast
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over most parts of the country.
- Drier than usual conditions expected over part of central to north-western areas of the country.
Rainfall forecast
- Normal to wetter than normal conditions expected over Puntland.
- Drier than usual conditions expected over the rest of the country.
Rainfall forecast
- Wetter than normal conditions expected over southern areas of Sudan, South Sudan, western Ethiopia, north-eastern Somalia, western Kenya, Uganda, most parts of Rwanda, Burundi, and north-western Tanzania.
- Drier than usual conditions expected over coastal areas …
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual temperatures expected over the whole country.
Rainfall forecast
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over most parts of the country.
- Drier than usual conditions expected over part of central to north-western areas of the country.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over northern and southern areas of Sudan, South Sudan, Ethiopia, southern areas of Eritrea, Djibouti, Somalia, much of Kenya, Uganda, and much of Tanzania.
- Cooler than normal conditions expected over …
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over most parts of the region.
- Cooler than usual temperatures expected over few places in western Eritrea, northern and eastern Ethiopia, northern Somalia, central Kenya, north-eastern Uganda and southern Tanzania.