Our monthly forecast
Our monthly forecasts help our users adjust our seasonal forecast and take preventive mitigation measures. Monthly forecasts are one of our most popular products. Sign up to receive them directly to your inbox.
February 2026
Rainfall
Temperature
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over eastern Sudan, most parts of Ethiopia, central to southern Somalia, Kenya, southern South Sudan, Uganda, Rwanda, Burundi, and Tanzania.
- Near normal temperatures expected over most parts of Sudan, northern areas of South Sudan, south-eastern Ethiopia, northern Somalia, and central to northern Kenya.
- Drier than usual conditions are expected over most parts of Tanzania and Burundi.
- Near normal to above normal conditions expected over western and northern Tanzania as well as over Rwanda.
- The rest of the region is generally dry in February.
Monthly forecasts
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Temperature forecast
- Warmer than normal conditions expected over most parts of the country except few areas in north-western and southern parts.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than normal conditions are expected over northern Sudan and eastern parts of the region.
- Normal temperature conditions are expected over much of central Sudan, western and north-eastern Ethiopia, south-western Uganda, Rwanda, Burundi, and much …
Rainfall forecast
- Drier than normal conditions expected over much of Somalia, Ethiopia, Djibouti, Eritrea as well as parts of southern Sudan, north-eastern Kenya, south-eastern Uganda, and eastern Tanzania.
- Normal rainfall expected over most of South Sudan, western …
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than normal conditions expected over Sudan, Eritrea, Djibouti, Ethiopia, Somalia, eastern Kenya, and north-eastern Tanzania.
- Normal temperature conditions expected over parts of central and western South Sudan, western Rwanda and Burundi, and southern and …
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than normal temperatures expected over most parts of Eastern Africa. Enhanced probabilities of above-normal temperatures indicated over central to north-eastern Ethiopia, south-eastern Eritrea, and central Kenya.
- Near normal temperatures expected over central parts of …
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than normal conditions expected all over the country except over a small area in the south where normal conditions are likely.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than normal conditions expected over northern and southern parts of the country.
- Normal conditions expected over central parts of the country.
Rainfall forecast
- Drier than normal conditions expected over most of Ethiopia, southern Somalia, parts of Kenya, and Uganda.
- Near normal conditions forecast over most of Kenya, Uganda, South Sudan, and Tanzania.
- Wetter than normal conditions expected over …