Our monthly forecast
Our monthly forecasts help our users adjust our seasonal forecast and take preventive mitigation measures. Monthly forecasts are one of our most popular products. Sign up to receive them directly to your inbox.
February 2026
Rainfall
Temperature
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over eastern Sudan, most parts of Ethiopia, central to southern Somalia, Kenya, southern South Sudan, Uganda, Rwanda, Burundi, and Tanzania.
- Near normal temperatures expected over most parts of Sudan, northern areas of South Sudan, south-eastern Ethiopia, northern Somalia, and central to northern Kenya.
- Drier than usual conditions are expected over most parts of Tanzania and Burundi.
- Near normal to above normal conditions expected over western and northern Tanzania as well as over Rwanda.
- The rest of the region is generally dry in February.
Monthly forecasts
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Rainfall forecast
- Average rainfall conditions expected over most parts of the country except in small area of the south-east where wetter than normal conditions are likely.
Rainfall forecast
- Drier than normal conditions expected over southern parts and a few areas in the north of the country.
- Normal conditions expected over central and northern parts of the country.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than normal conditions expected over central to south-western South Sudan.
- Normal conditions expected over most parts of the country.
- Cooler than normal conditions expected over the northern areas of the country.
Rainfall forecast
- Wetter than normal conditions expected over southern parts of the country and a few places in the north.
- Normal conditions expected over the rest of the country.
Rainfall forecast
- Wetter than normal conditions expected over central parts of the country.
- Normal conditions expected over the rest of the country.
Rainfall forecast
- Wetter than normal conditions expected over much of Tanzania, Rwanda, south-western and eastern Uganda, much of Kenya, part of south-eastern Ethiopia, and Djibouti.
- Normal conditions expected over central and eastern Ethiopia, most of Somalia, a …
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than normal conditions expected over the northern, central, and southern areas of the country.
- Normal temperatures likely to be recorded over central coastal, and north-eastern parts of the country.
- Cooler than normal conditions expected …
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than normal conditions expected over Djibouti, Ethiopia, northern and parts of southern Somalia, Kenya, part of western South Sudan, southern areas of Uganda, Rwanda, Burundi, and western and southern areas of Tanzania.
- Normal temperatures …
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual temperatures expected over central and eastern parts of the country.
- The rest of the country is likely to record average temperatures.
Rainfall forecast
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over central and north-eastern Tanzania.
- Usual conditions expected over much of north-eastern and southern Tanzania, eastern Burundi, and Rwanda.
- Drier than usual conditions expected over western areas of Burundi and …
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over most parts of the country.
- Average conditions expected over north-western parts of the country.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over parts of eastern South Sudan, Ethiopia, Djibouti, much of Somalia, Kenya, Uganda, Rwanda, Burundi, and western and southern Tanzania.
- Average temperatures expected over Sudan, much of Eritrea, northern areas …