Our monthly forecast
Our monthly forecasts help our users adjust our seasonal forecast and take preventive mitigation measures. Monthly forecasts are one of our most popular products. Sign up to receive them directly to your inbox.
February 2026
Rainfall
Temperature
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over eastern Sudan, most parts of Ethiopia, central to southern Somalia, Kenya, southern South Sudan, Uganda, Rwanda, Burundi, and Tanzania.
- Near normal temperatures expected over most parts of Sudan, northern areas of South Sudan, south-eastern Ethiopia, northern Somalia, and central to northern Kenya.
- Drier than usual conditions are expected over most parts of Tanzania and Burundi.
- Near normal to above normal conditions expected over western and northern Tanzania as well as over Rwanda.
- The rest of the region is generally dry in February.
Monthly forecasts
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Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected all over the country
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
- A higher chance of wetter than usual conditions expected over much of Tanzania, Burundi, southern Uganda, parts of central and south-western Kenya.
- The rest of the region is generally dry in January.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected all over the country
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual temperatures are expected over most parts of the region.
- Usual temperature conditions are expected over isolated areas in central and western Ethiopia, central and southern Kenya, northern and southern Tanzania.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual temperatures are expected over the whole country.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions are expected over much of the region
- Usual temperature conditions are expected over areas in northern Ethiopia, western Eritrea, and isolated locations in Sudan and Tanzania.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual temperatures are expected all over the country.
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
- Drier than usual conditions are expected over Kenya and Tanzania.
- Usual conditions (with low chances) are expected over south-western Uganda, Rwanda, Burundi, and parts of western Tanzania.
- The rest of the region is generally dry …
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
- Wetter than usual conditions are expected along coastal Sudan, Eritrea, and Djibouti.
- Usual conditions are expected over southern parts of South Sudan and Ethiopia, central Somalia, Uganda, Kenya, Rwanda, Burundi, and Tanzania.
- Drier than usual …
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
- Wetter than usual conditions are expected over a few places in western Equatoria, western Bahr el Ghazal, and Upper Nile.
- Usual conditions are expected over the rest of the country.
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
- Usual conditions are expected over central and north-western parts of the country.
- Drier than usual conditions are expected over southern areas of the country.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions are expected over much of Kenya, eastern Tanzania, western Uganda, much of South Sudan and Sudan, eastern Ethiopia, Djibouti, and Somalia.
- Usual temperatures are likely to be recorded over western Tanzania, …