Our monthly forecast

Our monthly forecasts help our users adjust our seasonal forecast and take preventive mitigation measures. Monthly forecasts are one of our most popular products. Sign up to receive them directly to your inbox.

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May 2025

Rainfall

Temperature

Temperature forecast
  • Warmer than usual conditions expected over most parts of the region. 
  • Cooler than normal conditions expected over cross-border areas of Uganda-Kenya-South Sudan-Ethiopia. 
Rainfall forecast
  • Normal to wetter than normal conditions expected over parts of Kenya, Somalia, southern Ethiopia, Uganda, eastern South Sudan, Rwanda and Burundi.  
  • Drier than usual conditions expected over northern Ethiopia, western South Sudan, and north-eastern Tanzania. 

Monthly forecasts

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Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
  • Wetter than usual conditions over southern and northern parts of the country
  • Usual rainfall conditions over central areas of the country
July 2020 Read More
Temperature forecast
Temperature forecast
  • High likelihood of a warmer than usual July over Tanzania, southern and eastern Kenya, southern areas of Somalia, southeastern, central and northeastern Ethiopia, Djibouti, northern and western parts of Sudan,  much of southwestern South Sudan, …
July 2020 Read More
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
  • High likelihood of a wetter than usual July over  much of Kenya, Uganda, South Sudan, Ethiopia, Djibouti, Somalia, Eritrea, Rwanda, Burundi, and Sudan. 
  • High chances of a drier than usual month over much of Tanzania, …
July 2020 Read More
Bulletin
Bulletin

This bulletin reviews the June 2019 climate conditions over the Greater Horn of Africa (GHA) region and highlights the August 2019 rainfall and temperature forecasts together with the socio-economic impacts associated with both the observed …

July 2020 Read More
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
  • The northwestern part of the country is likely to receive less than usual rainfall
  • Wetter than usual conditions are forecasted over the rest of the country
July 2020 Read More
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
  • High chances of above normal rainfall over much of Kenya, northern Tanzania, Uganda, Rwanda, central & northern parts of Somalia, much of Ethiopia, South Sudan and Sudan.
  • Normal to below normal rainfall likely over southern …
June 2020 Read More
Bulletin
Bulletin

Forecast (June 2020)

  • Widespread wetter than usual conditions over several parts of South Sudan, Ethiopia, Djibouti, northern Somalia, Uganda, western and central Kenya, southern parts of Sudan, and northern Tanzania. •
  • Higher than usual temperatures …
June 2020 Read More
Temperature forecast
Temperature forecast
  • High chances of warmer than usual temperatures over parts of southern Ethiopia, parts of central, eastern & coastal Kenya, western to southern parts of Uganda extending to adjacent areas of Tanzania localised regions in eastern …
June 2020 Read More
Temperature forecast
Temperature forecast
  • Warmer than usual temperatures over much of Uganda; parts of western and southwestern South Sudan; southern Ethiopia; central, coastal and part of eastern Kenya; western Rwanda; coastal Tanzania; and the central to northern tip of …
May 2020 Read More
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
  • Flood risk task forces & temporary evacuation of communities in very high risk areas
  • National institutions to coordinate interventions to reduce risks
  • High chances of above normal rainfall over Kenya, eastern Uganda, Rwanda, central Burundi, …
May 2020 Read More
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
  • High chances of above normal rainfall over central and northern Tanzania, much of Kenya, Uganda, southern parts of Somalia, southeastern and western Ethiopia, northern parts of South Sudan and northeastern Rwanda.
  • High chances of below …
April 2020 Read More
Temperature forecast
Temperature forecast
  • High monthly average temperatures above 32˚C expected over the northern part of South Sudan, and southern and eastern parts of Sudan.
  • Moderate monthly average temperatures between 22 and 32˚C expected over much of eastern Ethiopia, …
April 2020 Read More