Our monthly forecast
Our monthly forecasts help our users adjust our seasonal forecast and take preventive mitigation measures. Monthly forecasts are one of our most popular products. Sign up to receive them directly to your inbox.
February 2026
Rainfall
Temperature
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over eastern Sudan, most parts of Ethiopia, central to southern Somalia, Kenya, southern South Sudan, Uganda, Rwanda, Burundi, and Tanzania.
- Near normal temperatures expected over most parts of Sudan, northern areas of South Sudan, south-eastern Ethiopia, northern Somalia, and central to northern Kenya.
- Drier than usual conditions are expected over most parts of Tanzania and Burundi.
- Near normal to above normal conditions expected over western and northern Tanzania as well as over Rwanda.
- The rest of the region is generally dry in February.
Monthly forecasts
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Showing 399 results
Temperature forecast
- Cooler than usual temperatures are likely to be experienced over central and northwestern parts of the country
- Areas in the south and northeast are likely to record warmer than usual temperatures
Temperature forecast
- Areas in the southeastern parts of the country are likely to experience cooler than usual temperatures
- The rest of the country likely to record warmer than average temperatures
Temperature forecast
- High likelihood of a warmer than usual July over Tanzania, southern and eastern Kenya, southern areas of Somalia, southeastern, central and northeastern Ethiopia, Djibouti, northern and western parts of Sudan, much of southwestern South Sudan, …
Bulletin
Forecast (June 2020)
- Widespread wetter than usual conditions over several parts of South Sudan, Ethiopia, Djibouti, northern Somalia, Uganda, western and central Kenya, southern parts of Sudan, and northern Tanzania. •
- Higher than usual temperatures …
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
- High chances of above normal rainfall over much of Kenya, northern Tanzania, Uganda, Rwanda, central & northern parts of Somalia, much of Ethiopia, South Sudan and Sudan.
- Normal to below normal rainfall likely over southern …
Temperature forecast
- High chances of warmer than usual temperatures over parts of southern Ethiopia, parts of central, eastern & coastal Kenya, western to southern parts of Uganda extending to adjacent areas of Tanzania localised regions in eastern …
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual temperatures over much of Uganda; parts of western and southwestern South Sudan; southern Ethiopia; central, coastal and part of eastern Kenya; western Rwanda; coastal Tanzania; and the central to northern tip of …
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
- Flood risk task forces & temporary evacuation of communities in very high risk areas
- National institutions to coordinate interventions to reduce risks
- High chances of above normal rainfall over Kenya, eastern Uganda, Rwanda, central Burundi, …
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
- High chances of above normal rainfall over central and northern Tanzania, much of Kenya, Uganda, southern parts of Somalia, southeastern and western Ethiopia, northern parts of South Sudan and northeastern Rwanda.
- High chances of below …
Temperature forecast
- High monthly average temperatures above 32˚C expected over the northern part of South Sudan, and southern and eastern parts of Sudan.
- Moderate monthly average temperatures between 22 and 32˚C expected over much of eastern Ethiopia, …
Temperature forecast
- High monthly average temperatures of 30˚C is expected over central parts of South Sudan; north western and eastern Kenya; extending to south western Somalia.
- Moderate monthly average temperatures between 24-28˚C expected over the rest of …
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
Alert: In the coming three days Tanzania, southwestern Kenya, southeastern Uganda, Burundi, and Rwanda are expected to receive heavy rainfall (80 mm). Some areas in central Tanzania are expected to receive between 100-150 mm. The …