Our monthly forecast

Our monthly forecasts help our users adjust our seasonal forecast and take preventive mitigation measures. Monthly forecasts are one of our most popular products. Sign up to receive them directly to your inbox.

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April 2026

Rainfall

Temperature

Temperature forecast
  • Warmer than usual conditions expected over most parts of Sudan, South Sudan, northern and western Ethiopia, Djibouti, Eritrea, southern Somalia, Uganda, northern and eastern Kenya, Rwanda, Burundi and Tanzania. 
  • Normal to cooler than normal conditions are expected over part of south-eastern Sudan, central to southern South Sudan, most parts of Ethiopia, part of central to eastern Uganda, central to western Kenya, and most parts of Somalia. 
Rainfall forecast
  • Wetter than normal conditions expected over most parts of the region including Ethiopia, Djibouti, northern Eritrea, Kenya, central to southern Somalia, central to southern South Sudan, Uganda, Rwanda, Burundi, Tanzania.
  • Drier than normal conditions expected over northern parts of Somalia, isolated areas in central-eastern and north-eastern Ethiopia, and southern Eritrea.

Monthly forecasts

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Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
  • Flood risk task forces & temporary evacuation of communities in very high risk areas
  • National institutions to coordinate interventions to reduce risks
  • High chances of above normal rainfall over Kenya, eastern Uganda, Rwanda, central Burundi, …
May 2020 Read More
Temperature forecast
Temperature forecast
  • Warmer than usual temperatures over much of Uganda; parts of western and southwestern South Sudan; southern Ethiopia; central, coastal and part of eastern Kenya; western Rwanda; coastal Tanzania; and the central to northern tip of …
May 2020 Read More
Temperature forecast
Temperature forecast
  • High monthly average temperatures above 32˚C expected over the northern part of South Sudan, and southern and eastern parts of Sudan.
  • Moderate monthly average temperatures between 22 and 32˚C expected over much of eastern Ethiopia, …
April 2020 Read More
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
  • High chances of above normal rainfall over central and northern Tanzania, much of Kenya, Uganda, southern parts of Somalia, southeastern and western Ethiopia, northern parts of South Sudan and northeastern Rwanda.
  • High chances of below …
April 2020 Read More
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)

Alert: In the coming three days Tanzania, southwestern Kenya, southeastern Uganda, Burundi, and Rwanda are expected to receive heavy rainfall (80 mm). Some areas in central Tanzania are expected to receive between 100-150 mm. The …

December 2019 Read More
Temperature forecast
Temperature forecast
  • High monthly average temperatures of 30˚C is expected over central parts of South Sudan; north western and eastern Kenya; extending to south western Somalia.
  • Moderate monthly average temperatures between 24-28˚C expected over the rest of …
December 2019 Read More
Temperature forecast
Temperature forecast
  • High monthly average temperatures of 30˚C are expected over much of South Sudan, southern and eastern parts of Sudan, parts of eastern and northwestern Kenya, and south western Somalia.
  • Moderate monthly average temperatures between 23˚C …
November 2019 Read More
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
  • Above normal rainfall expected over Kenya, Uganda, Tanzania, Ethiopia, Somalia, and Djibouti.
  • Below normal rainfall expected over parts of Southwestern South Sudan and localized areas in Sudan.
November 2019 Read More
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
  • Above normal rainfall expected over Uganda, Rwanda, southern South  Sudan, western and central parts of Kenya, northern Burundi, southern and eastern parts of Ethiopia, north and central Somalia, and north and eastern parts of Tanzania. …
October 2019 Read More
Bulletin
Bulletin

This bulletin reviews the September 2019 climate conditions over the Greater Horn of Africa (GHA) region and highlights the November 2019 rainfall and temperature forecasts together with the socio-economic impacts associated with both the observed …

October 2019 Read More
Temperature forecast
Temperature forecast
  • Average monthly temperatures of between 16˚C and 22˚C are expected in central and western parts of Ethiopia, parts of central and western Kenya, south western Uganda, Rwanda, Burundi, and localized areas in Tanzania.
  • The highest …
October 2019 Read More
Bulletin
Bulletin

This bulletin reviews the July 2019 climate conditions over the Greater Horn of Africa (GHA) region and highlights the September 2019 rainfall and temperature forecasts together with the socio-economic impacts associated with both the observed …

August 2019 Read More