Our monthly forecast
Our monthly forecasts help our users adjust our seasonal forecast and take preventive mitigation measures. Monthly forecasts are one of our most popular products. Sign up to receive them directly to your inbox.
February 2026
Rainfall
Temperature
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over eastern Sudan, most parts of Ethiopia, central to southern Somalia, Kenya, southern South Sudan, Uganda, Rwanda, Burundi, and Tanzania.
- Near normal temperatures expected over most parts of Sudan, northern areas of South Sudan, south-eastern Ethiopia, northern Somalia, and central to northern Kenya.
- Drier than usual conditions are expected over most parts of Tanzania and Burundi.
- Near normal to above normal conditions expected over western and northern Tanzania as well as over Rwanda.
- The rest of the region is generally dry in February.
Monthly forecasts
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Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual temperatures expected over the whole country.
Rainfall forecast
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over south-western and eastern parts of the country.
- Drier than usual conditions expected over north-western to north-eastern areas of the country.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over most parts of the region with the highest probabilities over coastal Sudan and the eastern parts of the region.
- Normal temperature conditions are expected in northern Uganda, southern to …
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over eastern, northern and south-western parts of the country.
- Normal conditions expected over parts of central and south-eastern areas of the country.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over the whole country
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over most parts of the region.
- Normal to cooler than normal conditions expected over parts of western Kenya, north-eastern Uganda, south-eastern South Sudan, north-eastern and south-western Ethiopia, Djibouti, eastern Sudan …
Rainfall forecast
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over western Kenya, eastern Uganda, Burundi, and several places over Tanzania.
- Drier than normal conditions expected over southern Ethiopia, central to southern Somalia, central to eastern Kenya, central to western …
Rainfall forecast
- Drier than usual conditions expected over the central to southern parts of the country.
Temperature anomalies
Mean temperature cooler than the long-term mean was observed in western Eritrea, in Djibouti, in parts of southeastern Sudan, and in parts of northeastern and southwestern Ethiopia. Much of the rest of the rest of …
Rainfall forecast
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over isolated areas in the northern and southern coastal Somalia.
Rainfall forecast
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over south-eastern and western parts of the country.
- Normal to drier than normal conditions are likely over parts of central and north-eastern areas of the country.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over the whole country.