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Wetter-Than-Normal Conditions Expected Across Much of the Greater Horn of Africa
Nairobi, Kenya, 27 January 2026: The IGAD Climate Prediction and Applications Centre (ICPAC) in collaboration with member states’ National Meteorological and Hydrological Services (NMHSs), the World Meteorological Organisation (WMO), and partners, has released the regional climate outlook for the March to May (MAM) 2026 rainfall season, following the 72nd Greater Horn of Africa Climate Outlook Forum (GHACOF 72) held in Nairobi, Kenya from 26–27 January 2026.
Key Highlights of the MAM 2026 Climate Outlook
Rainfall Outlook
- The outlook indicates a 45% probability of wetter-than-normal rainfall conditions over much of the Greater Horn of Africa, including most parts of Uganda, Rwanda, …
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Very High Risk of Impacts to Crops and Rangelands
Projected impact on food and fodder
- Very high risk of significant impact to both crops and rangelands in Ethiopia, Somalia, and Kenya due to the high numbers of swarms recorded which are likely to breed …
High Level Conference: Prevention and Monitoring of Future Desert Locust Outbreaks in the Region
On 21 January 2021, IGAD in partnership with the World Bank, FAO and the French Agency for Development (AFD) convened a high-level conference to reach consensus on a set of actionable recommendations around a desirable …
How can Artificial Intelligence Help Improve Climate Forecasting and Risk Information?
By author, Herbert Misiani, ICPAC Climate Researcher
Contributions by ICPAC Climate Change Technical Working Group
Climate is chaotic in nature, with many processes and feedbacks which have not been fully understood. Predicting the future states …
Desert Locust Projection December 2020
Projected impact on food and fodder
- Very high risk of significant impacts to both crops and rangelands due to high rainfall received in northern parts of the region which has enabled the swarms to migrate. …
La Niña: forecasted drier than usual season poses risks to crops and livestock in some parts of the region
Nairobi, 11 of November 2020: October to December is a major farming season for Kenya, southern Somalia, southern Ethiopia, Rwanda, Burundi, Uganda, and much of Tanzania. The drier than usual season might impact southern Ethiopia, …