Featured Publications
Towards Anticipatory Disaster Risk Financing and Index Insurance Mechanisms for Resilience Building in Eastern Africa
Eastern Africa faces recurrent droughts, floods, and heat extremes that interact with fragility, co…
Climate Watch Advisory: The Dry Conditions in Eastern Africa - March 2026 Update
Drought hotspots across Eastern Africa, including eastern Kenya, Somalia, central Uganda, southern …
Climate-health March - May 2026 Advisories
With near normal to above normal rainfall forecast for the MAM 2026 season across East Africa, coun…
Climate Watch Advisory: The Evolving Dry Conditions in Eastern Africa - February 2026 Update
Several drought hotspots have persisted across Eastern Africa, including eastern Kenya, large parts…
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Technical Report on the Ongoing Flood Impact in the IGAD Region
The IGAD region is grappling with an unprecedented challenge of a climate emergency within the member states. The region, vulnerable to extreme events including floods, has again been tested by the ongoing rains. Heavy rainfall …
Summary for Decision Makers, March to May 2024 Season
Get our latest Summary for Decision Makers, addressing key sectors including:
- Disaster Risk Management
- Agriculture and Food Security
- Water and Energy
- Health and Nutrition
- Livestock
For optimal use of seasonal forecasts, integrate them with weekly …
AD-vine copula-based quantile regression towards merging satellite precipitation products over rugged topography: a case study in the upper Tekeze–Atbara Basin
Precipitation is a vital key element in various studies of hydrology, flood prediction, drought monitoring, and water resource management. The main challenge in conducting studies in remote regions with rugged topography is that weather stations …
Technical Statement from the 66th Greater Horn of Africa Climate Outlook Forum (GHACOF66)
The IGAD Climate Prediction and Applications Centre (ICPAC) released the March to May 2024 seasonal forecast which indicates a higher probability of wetter-than-normal conditions across most parts of the Greater Horn of Africa. Notably, the …
Impact-based flood forecasting in the Greater Horn of Africa
Every year Africa is hit by extreme floods which, combined with high levels of vulnerability and increasing population exposure, often result in humanitarian crises and population displacement. Impact-based forecasting and early warning for natural hazards …
Development of a data model and capacity development for human mobility due to slow-onset events in the IGAD Region
Human mobility can be categorized in a variety of ways. For example, mobility flows can be separated in terms of the distance of the movement, the length of time spent moving, the reasons for the …
Increasing the prospective capacity of global crop and rangeland monitoring with phenology tailored seasonal precipitation forecasts
Droughts are more and more often a limiting factor in agricultural production and can have severe negative effects on food security in vulnerable countries. Global agriculture early warning systems monitor agriculture in near real-time by …
Livelihoods, Resilience & Migration In the Context of Slow Onset Climate Change in the IGAD Region
Overall, participants in this study understood and attributed worsening climatic conditions to:
- Ordinary cyclicality – a bad year must be followed by a good one
- Supernatural forces
- Degradations brought to the land.
However, for some …
Comparative report on flood displacement mitigation policies
In the IGAD region, floods have become increasingly frequent and intense due to climate variability and change, resulting in 10.7 million new displacements between 2008 and 2022, related to 291 flood disasters reported (IDMC Database, …