Featured Publications
Dual climate risks Emerging: Extremely Dry Conditions Expected Across Northern Greater Horn of Africa During July–September, Followed by Intensely Wet October–December Rains over Equatorial and Southern parts of the Region
The Greater Horn of Africa is expected to experience two contrasting climate conditions during the …
Summary for Decision Makers - June to September 2026 Season
The June to September (JJAS) 2026 rainfall outlook indicates a high likelihood of below-normal rain…
Technical Statement from the 73rd Greater Horn of Africa Climate Outlook Forum (GHACOF 73)
The June to September (JJAS) 2026 rainfall outlook indicates a high likelihood of below-normal rain…
Towards Anticipatory Disaster Risk Financing and Index Insurance Mechanisms for Resilience Building in Eastern Africa
Eastern Africa faces recurrent droughts, floods, and heat extremes that interact with fragility, co…
All Publications
Filter by Publication Type
Filter by Service
Filter by Project
Filter by Year
Showing 92 results
Technical Statement from the 67th Greater Horn of Africa Climate Outlook Forum (GHACOF67)
The IGAD Climate Prediction and Applications Centre (ICPAC) released the June to September 2024 seasonal forecast which indicates an increased likelihood of above-normal rainfall over most parts of the Greater Horn of Africa (GHA). The …
The Socio-Economic Value of Climate Services, Evidence from Kenya and Uganda
Climate change is now a common occurrence, exacerbating underdevelopment, poverty, and vulnerability in developing nations, including the IGAD region. Climate variability, marked by unpredictable and severe weather events like droughts, floods, and landslides, poses a …
Human Mobility and Climate Change in the IGAD Region
The effects of climate change, including its contribution to disaster risk, are impacting people’s lives and human mobility. In many cases, this is resulting in new patterns of human mobility1 within countries and across national …
Technical Report on the Ongoing Flood Impact in the IGAD Region
The IGAD region is grappling with an unprecedented challenge of a climate emergency within the member states. The region, vulnerable to extreme events including floods, has again been tested by the ongoing rains. Heavy rainfall …
Summary for Decision Makers, March to May 2024 Season
Get our latest Summary for Decision Makers, addressing key sectors including:
- Disaster Risk Management
- Agriculture and Food Security
- Water and Energy
- Health and Nutrition
- Livestock
For optimal use of seasonal forecasts, integrate them with weekly …
AD-vine copula-based quantile regression towards merging satellite precipitation products over rugged topography: a case study in the upper Tekeze–Atbara Basin
Precipitation is a vital key element in various studies of hydrology, flood prediction, drought monitoring, and water resource management. The main challenge in conducting studies in remote regions with rugged topography is that weather stations …
Technical Statement from the 66th Greater Horn of Africa Climate Outlook Forum (GHACOF66)
The IGAD Climate Prediction and Applications Centre (ICPAC) released the March to May 2024 seasonal forecast which indicates a higher probability of wetter-than-normal conditions across most parts of the Greater Horn of Africa. Notably, the …
Impact-based flood forecasting in the Greater Horn of Africa
Every year Africa is hit by extreme floods which, combined with high levels of vulnerability and increasing population exposure, often result in humanitarian crises and population displacement. Impact-based forecasting and early warning for natural hazards …
Development of a data model and capacity development for human mobility due to slow-onset events in the IGAD Region
Human mobility can be categorized in a variety of ways. For example, mobility flows can be separated in terms of the distance of the movement, the length of time spent moving, the reasons for the …