Featured Publications
Climate Watch Advisory: The Dry Conditions in Eastern Africa - March 2026 Update
Drought hotspots across Eastern Africa, including eastern Kenya, Somalia, central Uganda, southern …
Climate-health March - May 2026 Advisories
With near normal to above normal rainfall forecast for the MAM 2026 season across East Africa, coun…
Climate Watch Advisory: The Evolving Dry Conditions in Eastern Africa - February 2026 Update
Several drought hotspots have persisted across Eastern Africa, including eastern Kenya, large parts…
March-MAY (MAM) 2026 SEASONAL FORECAST FOR IGAD CLUSTER II
The 5th Sub-Regional Climate Outlook Forum (Sub-COF5) was held on 10–12 February 2026 in Moyale, Et…
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Impact-based flood forecasting in the Greater Horn of Africa
Every year Africa is hit by extreme floods which, combined with high levels of vulnerability and increasing population exposure, often result in humanitarian crises and population displacement. Impact-based forecasting and early warning for natural hazards …
Probabilistic rainy season onset prediction over the greater horn of Africa based on long-range multi-model ensemble forecasts
This paper suggests a probabilistic framework for predicting when the rainy season will start over the Greater Horn of Africa. It uses bias-corrected, long-range, multi-model ensemble precipitation forecasts to do this.
When you look closely …
Advances, gaps and way forward in provision of climate services over the Greater Horn of Africa
The Greater Horn of Africa is prone to extreme climatic conditions, thus, making climate services increasingly important in supporting decision-making processes across a range of climate-sensitive sectors. This study aims to provide a comprehensive review …
Development of a data model and capacity development for human mobility due to slow-onset events in the IGAD Region
Human mobility can be categorized in a variety of ways. For example, mobility flows can be separated in terms of the distance of the movement, the length of time spent moving, the reasons for the …
Increasing the prospective capacity of global crop and rangeland monitoring with phenology tailored seasonal precipitation forecasts
Droughts are more and more often a limiting factor in agricultural production and can have severe negative effects on food security in vulnerable countries. Global agriculture early warning systems monitor agriculture in near real-time by …
Participatory Scenario Planning (PSP) Training and Implementation for Kiboga district, Uganda for SOND 2023 Rainfall season
The Uganda National Meteorological Authority (UNMA) with support from the Climate Services and Related Applications (ClimSA) project organized a Participatory Scenario Planning (PSP) for SOND rainfall Season 2023 for Kiboga District, from 05th – 06th …
Rural Livelihoods’s Adaptation to Climate Change in the Horn of Africa (RLACC II)
The Rural Livelihoods’s Adaptation to Climate Change in the Horn of Africa (RLACC II) project achieved a significant milestone by training 1600 agro-pastoralists in climate change adaptation, with 40% men and 60% women, contributing to …
Livelihoods, Resilience & Migration In the Context of Slow Onset Climate Change in the IGAD Region
Overall, participants in this study understood and attributed worsening climatic conditions to:
- Ordinary cyclicality – a bad year must be followed by a good one
- Supernatural forces
- Degradations brought to the land.
However, for some …
Climate Baselines - Fact Sheet
The Climate Baseline Factsheet summarises the past rainfall and temperature trends in the Eastern Africa from 1981 to 2010.