Our seasonal forecasts
Our seasonal forecasts help Eastern Africa prepare for the season and mitigate the effects of climate extremes.
March - May 2026
Rainfall
Temperature
- Warmer than usual conditions are expected over most parts of the region.
- Normal to cooler than normal temperature conditions likely to be recorded over few areas in Ethiopia, Kenya and Tanzania.
- Wetter than normal conditions expected over most parts of Ethiopia, parts of northern and central and southern Somalia, northern Eritrea, South Sudan, central to southern Kenya, Uganda, Rwanda, Burundi, and Tanzania.
- Normal to drier than normal conditions are expected over western and northern Kenya, western and eastern Uganda, south-western to central and north-eastern Ethiopia, Djibouti, western South Sudan and most parts of Somalia.
Seasonal forecasts
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Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over most parts of the country.
- Normal conditions expected over north-western parts of the country.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over central to north-eastern and few areas in north-western parts of the country.
- Normal conditions expected over southern and parts of north-western regions of the country.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions are expected over most parts of the region with the highest probabilities indicated over the eastern areas.
- Normal temperatures likely to be recorded over south-western parts of Sudan, western and southern …
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over central to north-eastern and few areas in north-western parts of the country.
- Normal conditions expected over southern and parts of north-western regions of the country.
Rainfall forecast
- Drier than usual conditions expected over most parts of the region including southern Ethiopia, most parts of Uganda, Kenya, central to southern Somalia, Rwanda, Burundi and Tanzania.
- Normal to wetter than usual conditions expected over …
Rainfall forecast
- Drier than usual conditions expected over the central and southern parts of the country.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over the whole country.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over most parts of the country.
- Normal to cooler than normal conditions expected over southeastern parts of the country.
Rainfall forecast
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over the eastern and isolated areas in western and north-western parts of the country.
- Drier than usual conditions expected over western parts of the country.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over most parts of the region.
- Normal to cooler than normal conditions expected over parts of western Kenya, north-eastern Uganda, south-eastern South Sudan, north-eastern and south-western Ethiopia, Djibouti, eastern Sudan …
Rainfall forecast
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over Rwanda, Uganda, western kenya, southern South sudan, most parts of Ethiopia, and northern Somalia.
- Drier than usual conditions expected over parts of South Sudan, north-western Ethiopia, and Sudan.
Rainfall forecast
- Drier than usual conditions expected over the whole country.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over the whole country.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over the whole country.
Rainfall forecast
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over most parts of the country.
- Drier than usual conditions expected over parts of north-western and southern areas of the country.