Our seasonal forecasts
Our seasonal forecasts help Eastern Africa prepare for the season and mitigate the effects of climate extremes.
June - September
Rainfall
Temperature
- Longest dry-spell lengths after onset expected over western Kenya, eastern Uganda, southern Ethiopia, northern Sudan.
- Much of the region is likely to experience first dry-spell length ranging from 4 to 8 days
- Longer wet-spell lengths after seasonal onset are expected over parts of northwestern Ethiopia, while shorter wet-spell lengths are anticipated over northeastern Ethiopia and Sudan
- The onset of rainfall shows a progression from south to north following the movement of the ITCZ.
- Enhanced probabilities of a late onset are indicated across much of the region. However, parts of southwestern, north-central Ethiopia, and parts of Sudan show likelihood of an early to near-normal onset
- Significantly higher likelihood for above-normal temperatures are indicated across the vast majority of the Greater Horn of Africa region.
- The highest probabilities of above-normal temperatures are concentrated over northern Sudan, most parts of South Sudan and Ethiopia
- Wettern than normal conditions indicated over parts of coastal Somalia and Kenya, northern Sudan, southern Ethiopia, and northern Somalia while near-normal conditions are expected over most of central Sudan.
- Enhanced likelihood Below-normal rainfall across much of the northern GHA, including South Sudan, Ethiopia, parts of Sudan, Eritrea, Djibouti, Uganda, and western Kenya.
Seasonal forecasts
Filter by Product Type
Filter by Region
Filter by Season
Filter by Year
Showing 455 results
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over the whole country.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over the whole country.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual temperatures indicated over most parts of the region
- Normal to cooler than normal temperatures likely to be recorded over part of eastern Sudan and the adjacent areas of Ethiopia and Eritrea.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over the whole country.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual temperatures indicated over the whole region.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over the whole country.
Rainfall forecast
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over much of southern Ethiopia, Somalia, south-eastern South Sudan, Uganda, Kenya, Rwanda, Burundi, north-western and northern coastal Tanzania.
- Drier than usual conditions expected over central to eastern South Sudan, southern …
Rainfall forecast
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over south-eastern and western areas of the country.
- Normal conditions expected over parts of northern and southern parts of South Sudan.
- Drier than usual conditions expected over central to north-eastern …
Rainfall forecast
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over the whole country.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than normal conditions expected over the whole country.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual temperatures expected over the whole region.
Rainfall forecast
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over southern and eastern Ethiopia, Somalia, parts of central, eastern, and coastal Kenya, southern Uganda, Rwanda, northern Burundi, and north-western Tanzania.
- Drier than usual conditions expected over parts of western …
Rainfall forecast
- Drier than normal conditions expected over parts of the northern and eastern regions of the country.
- Average conditions expected over parts of central, western, south-eastern and north-eastern areas of the country.
Rainfall forecast
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over the whole country.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than normal conditions expected over the whole country.