Our seasonal forecasts
Our seasonal forecasts help Eastern Africa prepare for the season and mitigate the effects of climate extremes.
March - May 2026
Rainfall
Temperature
- Warmer than usual conditions are expected over most parts of the region.
- Normal to cooler than normal temperature conditions likely to be recorded over few areas in Ethiopia, Kenya and Tanzania.
- Wetter than normal conditions expected over most parts of Ethiopia, parts of northern and central and southern Somalia, northern Eritrea, South Sudan, central to southern Kenya, Uganda, Rwanda, Burundi, and Tanzania.
- Normal to drier than normal conditions are expected over western and northern Kenya, western and eastern Uganda, south-western to central and north-eastern Ethiopia, Djibouti, western South Sudan and most parts of Somalia.
Seasonal forecasts
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Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual temperatures indicated over most parts of the region
- Normal to cooler than normal temperatures likely to be recorded over part of eastern Sudan and the adjacent areas of Ethiopia and Eritrea.
Rainfall forecast
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over central to northern Ethiopia, most parts of South Sudan, Sudan, Uganda, Rwanda, and part of western Kenya.
- Drier than usual conditions expected over eastern parts of the region, western …
Rainfall forecast
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over most parts of the country.
- Drier than usual conditions expected over parts of north-western and southern areas of the country.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over the whole country.
Rainfall forecast
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over much of southern Ethiopia, Somalia, south-eastern South Sudan, Uganda, Kenya, Rwanda, Burundi, north-western and northern coastal Tanzania.
- Drier than usual conditions expected over central to eastern South Sudan, southern …
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over the whole country.
Rainfall forecast
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over south-eastern and western areas of the country.
- Normal conditions expected over parts of northern and southern parts of South Sudan.
- Drier than usual conditions expected over central to north-eastern …
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual temperatures indicated over the whole region.
Rainfall forecast
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over the whole country.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than normal conditions expected over the whole country.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than normal conditions expected over the whole country.
Rainfall forecast
- Drier than normal conditions expected over parts of the northern and eastern regions of the country.
- Average conditions expected over parts of central, western, south-eastern and north-eastern areas of the country.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual temperatures expected over the whole region.
Rainfall forecast
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over southern and eastern Ethiopia, Somalia, parts of central, eastern, and coastal Kenya, southern Uganda, Rwanda, northern Burundi, and north-western Tanzania.
- Drier than usual conditions expected over parts of western …
Rainfall forecast
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over the whole country.