Our seasonal forecasts
Our seasonal forecasts help Eastern Africa prepare for the season and mitigate the effects of climate extremes.
December 2025 - February 2026
Rainfall
Temperature
- Warmer than normal conditions are expected over most parts of the region.
- Normal to cooler than normal temperature conditions likely to be recorded over parts of central Kenya and Ethiopia, northern Eritrea and coastal areas of Sudan.
- Normal to wetter than normal conditions expected over parts of Burundi, and western to southern areas of Tanzania.
- Drier than normal conditions expected over central to southern Kenya, southern Uganda, eastern and western Rwanda, most parts of Burundi, central to northern, and southern Tanzania.
Seasonal forecasts
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Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual temperatures indicated over most parts of the region
- Normal to cooler than normal temperatures likely to be recorded over part of eastern Sudan and the adjacent areas of Ethiopia and Eritrea.
Rainfall forecast
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over central to northern Ethiopia, most parts of South Sudan, Sudan, Uganda, Rwanda, and part of western Kenya.
- Drier than usual conditions expected over eastern parts of the region, western …
Rainfall forecast
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over most parts of the country.
- Drier than usual conditions expected over parts of north-western and southern areas of the country.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over the whole country.
Rainfall forecast
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over much of southern Ethiopia, Somalia, south-eastern South Sudan, Uganda, Kenya, Rwanda, Burundi, north-western and northern coastal Tanzania.
- Drier than usual conditions expected over central to eastern South Sudan, southern …
Rainfall forecast
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over south-eastern and western areas of the country.
- Normal conditions expected over parts of northern and southern parts of South Sudan.
- Drier than usual conditions expected over central to north-eastern …
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over the whole country.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual temperatures indicated over the whole region.
Rainfall forecast
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over the whole country.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual temperatures expected over the whole region.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than normal conditions expected over the whole country.
Rainfall forecast
- Drier than normal conditions expected over parts of the northern and eastern regions of the country.
- Average conditions expected over parts of central, western, south-eastern and north-eastern areas of the country.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than normal conditions expected over the whole country.
Rainfall forecast
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over southern and eastern Ethiopia, Somalia, parts of central, eastern, and coastal Kenya, southern Uganda, Rwanda, northern Burundi, and north-western Tanzania.
- Drier than usual conditions expected over parts of western …
Rainfall forecast
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over the whole country.