Our seasonal forecasts
Our seasonal forecasts help Eastern Africa prepare for the season and mitigate the effects of climate extremes.
August - October 2025
Rainfall
Temperature
- Warmer than average conditions are expected over northern and southern Sudan, eastern and western South Sudan, central to southern Ethiopia, Somalia, southern and north-eastern Kenya, Uganda, Rwanda, Burundi and Tanzania.
- Normal to cooler than normal temperature conditions likely to be recorded over north-western Somalia, northern Ethiopia, southern Djibouti, western Eritrea, parts of western, central and eastern Sudan north-western Kenya, north-eastern Uganda and south-eastern South Sudan.
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over most parts of the northern sector of the region, western Kenya, Uganda and Rwanda.
- Drier than usual conditions expected over part of north-western South Sudan, south-eastern Ethiopia, central to southern Somalia, and eastern Kenya.
Seasonal forecasts
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Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected all over the country.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over northern areas of Sudan, central to south-eastern Ethiopia, Somalia, Kenya, southern Uganda, and much of Tanzania.
- Average temperatures expected over areas in western South Sudan, central Uganda, Rwanda, Burundi, …
Rainfall forecast
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over southern Sudan, parts of Ethiopia, much of South Sudan, Uganda, and parts of western Kenya.
- Drier than usual conditions expected over much of Kenya, south-eastern Ethiopia, Somalia, north-western South …
Rainfall forecast
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over eastern half of the country.
- Drier than usual conditions expected over western parts of the country.
Rainfall forecast
- Drier than usual conditions expected all over the country.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than normal conditions expected over most parts of the country.
- Cooler than normal to average conditions expected over coastal and north-western parts of the country.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than normal conditions expected over northern parts of Sudan, southern Ethiopia, much of Somalia, Kenya, southern Uganda, and much of Tanzania.
- Average temperatures are likely to be recorded over southern areas of South Sudan, …
Temperature forecast
- Average temperature conditions expected over the southern parts of the country.
- Cooler than normal conditions expected over the northern and south-eastern areas of the country.
Rainfall forecast
- Wetter than normal conditions expected over Sudan, South Sudan, north-western Eritrea, Djibouti, much of Ethiopia, Uganda, western Kenya, and eastern Rwanda.
- Normal conditions expected over north-western South Sudan, north-western Kenya, and north-eastern Somalia.
- Drier than …
Rainfall forecast
- Wetter than normal conditions expected over most parts of the country except part of north-western where average rainfall is expected.
Rainfall forecast
- Drier than normal conditions expected over most parts of the country.
- Normal to above normal rainfall conditions expected over north-eastern and north-western parts of the country.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions are expected over most parts of the region.
- Usual temperature conditions are likely to be recorded over central and western Tanzania, Burundi, part of western Kenya, and central and northern South …
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
- Wetter than usual conditions are expected over southern areas of Sudan, north-eastern South Sudan, and north-western and eastern Ethiopia.
- Usual conditions are expected over much of South Sudan, western and northern Ethiopia, northern Somalia, western …
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual temperatures are expected over the whole country.
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
- Wetter than usual conditions likely over north-western parts of the country.
- Usual conditions likely over the rest of the country.