Our seasonal forecasts
Our seasonal forecasts help Eastern Africa prepare for the season and mitigate the effects of climate extremes.
October - December 2025
Rainfall
Temperature
- Warmer than average conditions expected over most parts of the region with highest probabilities over parts of Kenya, Ethiopia, Djibouti, Somalia, and Tanzania.
- Normal to cooler than normal temperature conditions likely to be recorded over coastal areas of Sudan and northern central Eritrea.
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over southern parts of South Sudan, part of north-eastern Somalia, northern and south-western Uganda, and northern parts of Rwanda.
- Drier than usual conditions expected over most parts of Somalia, Djibouti, coastal Sudan and Eritrea, southern Ethiopia, Kenya, central to southern Uganda, and Tanzania.
Seasonal forecasts
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Rainfall forecast
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over much of southern Ethiopia, Somalia, south-eastern South Sudan, Uganda, Kenya, Rwanda, Burundi, north-western and northern coastal Tanzania.
- Drier than usual conditions expected over central to eastern South Sudan, southern …
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over the whole country.
Rainfall forecast
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over south-eastern and western areas of the country.
- Normal conditions expected over parts of northern and southern parts of South Sudan.
- Drier than usual conditions expected over central to north-eastern …
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual temperatures indicated over the whole region.
Rainfall forecast
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over the whole country.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual temperatures expected over the whole region.
Rainfall forecast
- Drier than normal conditions expected over parts of the northern and eastern regions of the country.
- Average conditions expected over parts of central, western, south-eastern and north-eastern areas of the country.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than normal conditions expected over the whole country.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than normal conditions expected over the whole country.
Rainfall forecast
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over southern and eastern Ethiopia, Somalia, parts of central, eastern, and coastal Kenya, southern Uganda, Rwanda, northern Burundi, and north-western Tanzania.
- Drier than usual conditions expected over parts of western …
Rainfall forecast
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over the whole country.
Temperature forecast
- Average temperatures expected over western areas of the country.
- Cooler than usual conditions expected over most parts of the country.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over northern areas of Sudan, central to south-eastern Ethiopia, Somalia, Kenya, southern Uganda, and much of Tanzania.
- Average temperatures expected over areas in western South Sudan, central Uganda, Rwanda, Burundi, …
Rainfall forecast
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over southern Sudan, parts of Ethiopia, much of South Sudan, Uganda, and parts of western Kenya.
- Drier than usual conditions expected over much of Kenya, south-eastern Ethiopia, Somalia, north-western South …
Rainfall forecast
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over eastern half of the country.
- Drier than usual conditions expected over western parts of the country.