Our seasonal forecasts
Our seasonal forecasts help Eastern Africa prepare for the season and mitigate the effects of climate extremes.
June - August 2025
Rainfall
Temperature
- Warmer than average conditions are expected over northern an southern Sudan, South Sudan, much of Ethiopia, Somalia, Kenya, Uganda, Rwanda, Burundi and Tanzania.
- Near Normal temperatures expected central Sudan, north-western Ethiopia, and parts of south-western South Sudan.
- Cooler than normal temperatures likely to be recorded over isolated areas in northern Somalia, northern Ethiopia, parts of southern Djibouti, a few regions in western and eastern Sudan and cross border areas of Kenya-Uganda-South Sudan-Ethiopia.
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over most parts of the northern sector of the region.
- Drier than usual conditions expected over few places in southern Sudan, north-western South Sudan, and isolated areas in southern coastal Somalia and Kenya.
Seasonal forecasts
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Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
- Wetter than usual conditions are expected over most parts of the country.
- Usual conditions are expected over areas in north-western parts of the country.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions are expected over much of Tanzania, Kenya, eastern Uganda, Rwanda, Burundi, southern and north-eastern Somalia, much of Ethiopia, Djibouti, north-western South Sudan, and northern Sudan.
- Usual conditions are expected over western …
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
- Average rainfall conditions likely to be recorded over small locations in the central parts of the country
- Drier than average rainfall conditions likely to be recorded over the rest of the country
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
- Wetter than average rainfall conditions likely to be recorded over much of eastern part of the country
- Average conditions likely to be recorded over southern, central, and northern parts extending to north western parts of …
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual temperatures likely to be recorded all over the country
Rainfall forecast (Total mm)
- Drier than usual conditions are expected over southwestern South Sudan, much of southeastern Ethiopia, much of Kenya, Tanzania, Rwanda, Burundi, Somalia, western parts of Eritrea, and coastal Sudan. Stakeholders are advised to take the necessary …
Temperature forecast
- Normal temperature conditions likely to be experienced over south eastern parts of the country
- Warmer than usual temperatures likely to be recorded over the rest of the country
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over the whole country.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual temperatures indicated over most parts of the region.
- Average temperatures likely to be recorded over part of eastern Sudan, Djibouti, and around Mt. Elgon areas of Kenya-Uganda.
Rainfall forecast
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over Uganda, western Kenya, and most parts of the northern sector.
- Drier than usual conditions expected over isolated areas in northern Somalia.
Rainfall forecast
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over the whole country with pockets of drier than usual conditions over the northern areas.
Rainfall forecast
- Wetter than usual conditions expected over the northern parts of the country.
- Drier than usual conditions expected over areas in central-northern regions of the country.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual conditions expected over the whole country.
Rainfall forecast
- Drier than usual conditions expected over most parts of the country with isolated area in the north-eastern part of the country expected to record near normal rainfall.
Temperature forecast
- Warmer than usual temperatures indicated over the whole region.
- Highest probabilities are indicated over northern Sudan, parts of Ethiopia, Somalia, Kenya, and Tanzania.